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Omri Ceren Show - 6:30pm PST - Iranian Saber-Rattling, Israel's Military Edge, Dan Diker On Israeli/Syrian Tensions, Etc.

Edgy

Stan Shivell and I have been IM'ing back and forth about what Iran's February 11 saber rattling. is all about. It's the 31st anniversary of the Islamic takeover and both the government and the opposition will be out in force. But there's also this other element - and the Iranians do this periodically - where they attach some kind of mystical significance to a day and predict "surprises" and "demises" and so on. Probably as good a time as any to look at how a regional war between Israel and Iran might play out.

Ergo today's episode of One Jerusalem Radio's Omri Ceren Show, going on the air at 6:30pm. As always you can tune in live via either the episode page or the main Omri Ceren Show page. Chat room available, phone lines open, etc. Segments in the queue: the calculations and capabilities of Hezbollah-controlled Lebanon, Syria, Iran, and Egypt. This crap about Apaches will also come up. I've been trying to chase the story down a little bit and it turns out to be pointedly different than original press reports implied.

Dan Diker joins the show for three full segments today. We'll go over the specifics of recent Israeli/Syrian relations before moving into how the Syrian military would get dragged into a regional war. Even measured by the amount of game Diker usually brings to these discussions, there's just a ton of information in each section. Two specific things for which to keep an ear out: the significance of Syria's chemical weapons arsenal specifically in the context of peace talks and the degree to which Iran can impose its will on Damascus's behavior.

References:
* Clenched With A Weird Feb 11th Deadline For The "Demise Of Capitalism" And America [Is Iran's Fist Still Clenched?]
* What Would A Middle East War Look Like? [One Jerusalem Radio's Omri Ceren Show]
* Wonderful: Obama Blocking Apache Sales To Israel, "Dismayed" At Use During Cast Lead [MR]

Related Mere Rhetoric Categories:
* The Omri Ceren Show
* Syria
* Iran

Lebanon Endorses Hezbollah Weapons Stockpile Despite Hezbollah Promises For A Near-Term War On Israel

Hezbollah and Lebanon

So much for that vaunted UN ceasefire:

Lebanon's new government Wednesday endorsed Hezbollah's right to keep its weapons, the latest sign that the Iran-backed group has no intention of meeting a United Nations resolution calling for it to disarm. Lebanon's government is a shaky coalition of Western-backed factions and the militant group Hezbollah, which has virtual veto power over the government. The group is believed to have thousands of rockets and missiles hidden in basements and bunkers throughout Shiite Muslim areas of the tiny country. The government decision came as the Lebanese army opened fire at four Israel Air Force warplanes that were flying above southern Lebanon, a Lebanese news agency reported. According to the report, the jets were forced to leave Lebanese airspace and return to Israel as a result of the anti-aircraft fire.

Shocking that a Lebanese unity government which includes Hezbollah would be pro-Hezbollah. Israel's reaction is the logical one: if you want them, you own them. Any future attack by Hezbollah will, per Barak, be interpreted as an attack by Lebanon. I'm not sure why he thinks that's credible.

Whether Hezbollah is considered a part of Lebanon will be - as it always is - a function of what's best for Hezbollah and worst for Israel. If there's a ceasefire in place and the US needs excuses for engagement then the State Department describes Hezbollah unity agreements as "positive and necessary steps." If Hezbollah has just started a hot war and Israeli jets are destroying their facilities throughout the country then suddenly State Department officials insist that Lebanon bears no responsibility and should be insulated. It's a rigged game but it's not exactly a subtle game.

And there will be another war. Hezbollah isn't bringing in hundreds of tons of Katyushas and long-range rockets and shells and bullets from Iran and Syria to let them rust. Those weapons are also coming in - thanks to Hezbollah's global fundraising network - via the United States. Hezbollah's pretty open about how they'll be used:

Although the organisation denied last week that the weapons were intended for its use, senior commanders have done little to disguise the scale of rearmament. "Sure, we are rearming, we have even said that we have far more rockets and missiles than we did in 2006," said a Hezbollah commander, speaking on condition of anonymity... "We had to blow up or leave some of our bunkers and fighting positions, but we still have plenty of capabilities in the south. We expect the Israelis to come soon, if not this winter, then they will wait until spring, when the ground isn't too soft for their tanks."

Unblinkingly contradictory anti-Israel diplomacy won't be the only deja vu part of the next war. The enlarged contingent of UN peacekeepers - which has been threatening military action against Israel since day 1 and long ago started busting Israeli intel assets - will again and predictably serve as human shields for Hezbollah soldiers.

And of course ditto for civilians:

Continue reading "Lebanon Endorses Hezbollah Weapons Stockpile Despite Hezbollah Promises For A Near-Term War On Israel" »

The Omri Ceren Show - 2pm PST - Barry Rubin On Lebanon's Crisis And Ours

Barry Rubin

Today's TOCS episode goes on the air a little less than an hour, with highlights from my interview with Prof. Barry Rubin, analysis from Dan Diker, and the weekly roundup of US, Israeli, and international news. To hear the show live - and to submit questions via the chat room or get on the air through the phone lines - head over to the show's Blog Talk Radio page at 2pm PST.

The call with Diker covered (1) the increasingly pointed tensions between Obama and our NATO allies over Iranian nuclearization and (2) the so-called Fayyad peace plan, where Prime Minister Fayyad wants to unilaterally declare a Palestinian state. To give you an idea of the kind of game Diker brings to the latter debate, here's Sunday's CSM article on the plan:

Fayyad's plan was recently analyzed in depth by the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs (JCPA), a right-of-center think tank. Dan Diker, the JCPA's senior foreign analyst, says that the plan is potentially dangerous because it doesn't call for working in tandem with Israel on issues that the Jewish state sees as essential to its security... "For Israel to be 12 kilometers [7 miles] away from a Palestinian state that is 3,000 feet above sea level, which is looking down on Ben Gurion airport with most of Israel's infrastructure? After the rockets from Gaza, people are saying, 'Yikes, this is a dangerous proposal,'" Diker says... Fayyad, who clearly does his homework, already has Diker's report from the JCPA printed out in his office in Ramallah.

As always, make sure you grab the full Barry Rubin interview from the One Jerusalem audio page after the show. Prof. Rubin sat down for 35 minutes of questions, only a dozen or so of which made it into the highlight cut.

Topics that you'll get only in the full interview: the decades-long campaign of anti-American mass murder and torture waged by Iran's proxies in Lebanon, the pitfalls of security assistance to the Palestinian Authority and Lebanon, and how Obama's engagement-centric diplomacy pushes moderate countries into the Iranian orbit. There's also an extended bit about the Obama Effect. It turns out that The One's personal popularity doesn't exactly change the calculations of our allies and enemies. Which isn't to say that Middle East writers like Hendrik Hertzberg are cutting their Obama hagiography out of whole cloth. But, in the final analysis, they're probably not winning any prizes for rigorous and levelheaded social scientific analysis either.

References:
* RubinReports [Official Site]
* Dan Diker Home Page [FreedomOutpost]
* The Omri Ceren Show [Blog Talk Radio]
* Interview: How Salam Fayyad plans to save the Palestinian dream | csmonitor.com
* New Middle East Events Prove it: Obama Right About Most Everything - Hit & Run : Reason Magazine [Reason]

Related Mere Rhetoric Categories:
* The Omri Ceren Show
* Diplomacy
* Lebanon and Hezbollah

Lebanon: Israeli Agents Launching Rockets At Themselves To Make Us Look Bad

Agents

Well sure it sounds batshit crazy. But if you look at it from the perspective of a conspiracy-addled antisemite - "whatever helps Israel must have been instigated by Israel, including the genocidal wars Arab States start and lose" - then it makes a lot of sense. Why wouldn't Israel fire on its own citizens, thereby exposing Lebanon to the unbearably withering prospect of an Israeli complaint to the UN:

Lebanese President Michel Suleiman claimed Tuesday's Katyusha rocket attack on Kiryat Shmona was in Israel's interest, and suggested that an Israeli agent may have launched the projectile. In an interview with the Lebanese Arab-language newspaper Al Akhbar published Thursday, Suleiman said that an Israeli agent may have launched the rocket, stressing that one "must not rule out" the possibility that Israel was behind the attack. On Tuesday night, a Katyusha fired from the Mount Dov (Shaba Farms) area slammed into a field not far from Kiryat Shmona, causing a fire but no casualties. The IDF immediately shelled the Lebanese territory from which the projectile was launched, using several rounds of artillery.

Presumably those four rockets aimed at Israel that the LAF just dismantled were also planted by Israeli agents. It's not that Lebanon has been systematically ignoring Hezbollah's rearmament in violation of even its symbolic obligations under UNSC 1701. It's that the agents of the Jewish State are really sneaky. And they're everywhere.

When Sunni/Shiite tensions finally erupt - and they will, not least of all because the country has been infiltrated hundreds of Al Qaeda operatives ready to wage jihad against Jews and Hezbollah-backed Shiites - that'll be Israel's fault too.

That the "UNSC" in UNSC 1701 stands for "United Nations Security Council" is particularly ironic given how Lebanon currently sits on the Security Council. I don't really think that's fair. The UN is supposed to be a one-state one-vote kind of place and Iran and Syria already had their turn.

References and related after the jump...

Continue reading "Lebanon: Israeli Agents Launching Rockets At Themselves To Make Us Look Bad" »

Hezbollah: Exploding Zionist Spying Devices Are Framing Us And Our Innocent Warehouses [Videos]

Exploding Zionist Spying Device

Remember that Hezbollah warehouse / living room from last week where they were very unsafely storing explosives? Having moved everything out after it detonated - an IDF drone caught the entire clean up, video below - Hezbollah's been going out of their way to fabricate evidence of an IDF conspiracy. Today's update involves the discovery of a super-secret explosive laden Zionist spying device. I have no idea what that means, but I put the picture up above and here's caption, both courtesy of the AP's Mohammed Zaatari:

A suspected Israeli spying device is seen in the southern village of Houla, near the border with Israel, Lebanon, Sunday, Oct. 18, 2009. Lebanese-Israeli border was rocked by an explosion Saturday night which a Lebanese official said was caused by Israel detonating two Israeli spying devices planted on the outskirts of the Lebanese village of Houla. A third one was set off in the same area by Lebanese troops, the official added. (AP Photo/Mohammed Zaatari)

Nice to see the media bringing a critical eye to bear on Hezbollah's feverish fantasies. This is in addition to the elaborate mock-up Hezbollah staged and videotaped after the explosion, where they pretended to demonstrate that there were no weapons in the warehouse. It was also dutifully picked up by Reuters, because who can argue with video?

Very convincing. Minus the fact that the explosion happened at night, that Hezbollah sealed off the area afterward, that the IDF video showed a different truck removing weapons, and that UNIFIL stooges were obviously let into the area the next day after the cover-up was finished. But other than that, air tight.

This would be exploding warehouse number two from over the last few months, incidentally:

All these unblinking fabrications beg a pretty fundamental question: who is the show for? Are the Lebanese people really so gullible that they'll nod along with these laughably thin conspiracy theories? And if so shouldn't we stop giving them billions in weapons and logistical training, on the off chance that eventually they'll be fighting one of our allies because they're certifiable? (h/t: Soccer Dad for the spying device, AL for the rest)

References:
* BREAKING: Hezbollah Living Room / Weapons Depot Explodes (Plus: Kills Senior Operative?) [MR]
* Mideast Conflict [Yahoo News]
* Hezbollah says blast footage shows door not rocket [Reuters]
* US Security Assistance To Lebanon Already Being Turned Against Israel [MR]

Previously:
* Great News: UNIFIL Breaking Up Israel's Anti-Hezbollah Spy Rings
* Jimmy Carter Gets His Wish: Hezbollah Has Anti-Aircraft Missiles
* Hezbollah And Neo-Nazis Agree: Pat Oliphant's Anti-Semitic Cartoon Is Exquisite

BREAKING: Hezbollah Living Room / Weapons Depot Explodes (Plus: Kills Senior Operative?)

Hezbollah Operatives

If I was the Israeli government and I knew I'd be attacking Iran in 2 months, I'd be doing everything possible now to preemptively expand the IDF's operational freedom in Gaza and South Lebanon. Once the attack happens there's no red line the other side won't cross so the less assets they have the better. In Gaza that might involve getting Shalit the hell out of Hamas's hands no matter what the price. In South Lebanon it would involve eliminating senior Hezbollah operatives.

I haven't written about the Shalit swap, half because I've been crunched for time and half because I've always hated blogging about prisoner exchanges. Protests aside, I kind of think it's going to happen. Hamas needs their prisoner release for the Palestinian elections and Israel's Cabinet seems willing to pay for Shalit. But the strategic picture in Gaza is a sideshow compared to Lebanon.

Speaking of which...

At least two people were killed in an explosion in a building in a small Lebanese village near the coastal city of Tyre, Lebanon, sources said on Monday evening. The building is reportedly the home of senior Hizbullah official Abd al-Nasser Issa. Security forces in Lebanon reported that both Issa and his son were killed in the explosion. Three other people were reportedly killed in the blast. Hizbullah denied any casualties, saying that only one person was wounded.

Hezbollah has been warning their operatives to watch out for assassinations, but this actually doesn't look like an Israeli hit. It looks like Issa was using his house as a weapons depot and natural selection took its course. Something to keep in mind the next time Human Rights Watch or the UN mouth off about how there's no evidence Hezbollah uses human shields.

These war criminals are eventually going to end up sharing formal control over Lebanon, Netanyahu's "if you want them you own them" warnings notwithstanding. And because our liberal foreign policy community needs a reminder now and again, that means Iran.

So Israel will be dealing with an Iranian controlled army in the service of a Lebanese government entity storing missiles in civilian bunkers and firing them at Israeli skyscrapers - and the Israelis will still get blamed.

References and previously after the jump...

Continue reading "BREAKING: Hezbollah Living Room / Weapons Depot Explodes (Plus: Kills Senior Operative?)" »

Chavez Going Nuclear, Consolidating Venezuela-Iran-Hezbollah Terror Axis

Nuclear

Even the left now admits that Iran and Venezuela are cooperating to sow global instability, with Venezuelan oil going to Iran and Iranian missiles coming to Venezuela. But at least Chavez is also building nuclear facilities with Russia's help. At least there's that:

Hugo Chavez wants to join the nuclear energy club and is looking to Russia for help in getting started. The Venezuelan leader is already dismissing critics' concerns over his nuclear ambitions, offering assurances his aims are peaceful and that Venezuela will simply be following in the footsteps of other South American nations using nuclear energy.

Yet his project remains in its planning stages and still faces a host of practical hurdles, likely requiring billions of dollars, as well as technology and expertise that Venezuela lacks. Russia has offered to help bridge that gap, and Chavez has announced that the two countries have created an atomic energy commission.

Of course a simple bilateral relationship - even one built on mutual nuclear capabilities - is too small time for these cretins. They're determined to have their own full-blown Iran-Venezuela-Hezbollah terror axis:

Two related items that should give the Obama administration pause as it seeks ways to engage Venezuela's Hugo Chávez and other countries in Venezuela's sphere of influence (Bolivia, Nicaragua, Ecuador primarily). The first is the new Memorandum of Understanding signed between the militaries of Venezuela and Iran. According to the official FARS News Agency, Iran's defense minister, in a visit to Caracas, "underlined Tehran's all-out efforts to help Venezuela promote its defense capabilities and bolster its power of deterrence through bilateral Memoranda of Understanding (MoUs) on military cooperation." Chávez, for his part, stated that "The Bolivarian and the Islamic Revolutions have a lot in common and these commonalities have consolidated the two countries' bonds."...

At the same time, 17 people were arrested in the small Caribbean island (and Dutch territory) of Curacao on charges of transporting several tons of cocaine and sending some of the money to Hezbollah. "We have been able to establish that this group has relations with international criminal organizations that have connections with the Hezbollah," prosecutor Ludmila Vicento said.

Chavez has also purchased himself some brand new tanks. His military and terror financing has drained Venezuela's coffers to the point where they can't even keep the lights on any more. Maybe this is something Obama can talk with them about.

References and previously after the jump...

Continue reading "Chavez Going Nuclear, Consolidating Venezuela-Iran-Hezbollah Terror Axis" »

Breaking: Mysteriously Well-Armed Lebanese Group Commemorates 9/11 By Firing Rockets At Israeli Civilians

Hezbollah

Naturally:

Three Katyusha rockets struck open fields near Nahariya on Friday. There have been no reports of casualties. The rockets were fired from southern Lebanon and Israel Radio has reported that the Israel Defense Forces have launched retaliatory artillery into southern Lebanon... Channel 10 reported that an electric tower was struck by one of the rockets.

Apparently Hezbollah found somewhere else to plant a few of their tens of thousands of rockets. They were having some problems after Lebanese villagers disabused them of the notion that the villagers were willing to become human shields (not that Hezbollah uses human shields - cf. Human Rights Watch's "no basis" strutting).

Interesting few days for Hezbollah. First they block the government from forming, forcing Hariri to resign. Now this. Someone's having a good week.

References:
* Three Katyusha rockets strike northern Israel [Ha'aretz]
* Lebanese villagers recorded driving away Hezbollah men [YNet]
* HRW: "No Basis" For Claims That Hezbollah Used Human Shields. MR: What About All The Photos And Videos [Video] [MR]
* Hariri fails to form cabinet, resigns [JPost]

Previously:
* Great News: UNIFIL Breaking Up Israel's Anti-Hezbollah Spy Rings
* UNIFIL Peacekeepers Now Actively Trying To Start A War In Lebanon
* Surveillance Video Shows Hezbollah Moving Some Of Their 40,000 Rockets To Israeli Border, War Could "Explode At Any Minute" [Video]

Marc Garlasco - Is HRW's Anti-Israel Investigator A Nazi-Obsessed Collector?

Investigations

UPDATE: I've published a critical followup to this post, both because I've gotten specific emails accusing Garlasco of being a Stormfront.org contributor (100% not true) and because there's a general risk that this controversy is becoming one about him personally (misses the point). He's a guy who has a lot of inchoate sensibilities when it comes to Jews and the Jewish State, and there's obviously something going on that's consistently tilting his reports in an anti-Israel direction. If he was just incompetent then 50% of his mistakes would favor Israel.

He should never have been tasked with producing reports about the Middle East, if for no other reason than there's something moving him other than level-headed analysis. It's not straightforward and its not vulgar, but it's obviously doing work.

But this isn't about him as an individual. It's about HRW's institutional culture, where people couldn't tell that something was amiss because everyone holds the same opinions he does. His anti-Israel biases are literally institutionalized in that organization. As I said at the bottom of this post, this is their mess as much or more than it is his. More elaboration at the followup.

ORIGINAL: There are two Marc Garlascos on the Internet. One is a top human rights investigator who, having joined Human Rights Watch after several years with the Pentagon, has become known for his shrill attacks on Israel. The other is a Marc Garlasco who's obsessed with the color and pageantry of Nazism, has published a detailed 430 page book on Nazi war paraphernalia, and participates in forums for Nazi souvenir collectors.

Both Marc Garlascos were born on September 4, 1970. Both have Ernst as their middle name. Both live in New York, NY. Both have a maternal grandfather who fought for the Nazis. I've put links and screenshots on all this after the jump, and you can click through for full-sized versions. It's hard to escape the conclusion that both Marc Garlascos are the same person.

Bloggers and activists concerned about Israel have been baffled and frustrated by the first Garlasco almost since he joined HRW. On his public photography site he posts gratuitous Palestinian and Lebanese death porn in between galleries of cute Western-looking kids playing soccer (no link - keeping his kids out of it). He provides a seemingly never-ending stream of interviews to all kinds of outlets, where he spins tales about ostensible Israeli atrocities. The only problem is that many of these tales - per Soccer Dad and IsraPundit and Elder of Ziyon and NGO Monitor and CAMERA and LGF - are biased and inaccurate. That doesn't stop Garlasco from putting them into the kind of HRW reports that make their way into international anti-Israel condemnations and academic anti-Israel dissertations.

Then there's the second Marc Garlasco, who I caught wind of from Elder of Ziyon. Elder had just finished tearing apart another one of HRW Garlasco's anti-Israel reports when he found the Amazon profile of collector Garlasco. This Garlasco's Amazon book reviews show a nearly obsessive knowledge of Nazi-era Luftwaffe Flak and Army Flak. A little more searching revealed that he's written a gigantic book on the subject that retails for over $100. He regularly participates in forums about Nazi medals under the handle Flak 88, where he posts galleries of his prizes and admires what others have managed to collect. On those forums he uses the email marc@garlasco.com, which points to a family genealogy site he set up in 2002.

If both Garlascos are the same, Human Rights Watch almost certainly knows about his creepy hobby. It took me less than an hour on Google to confirm Elder's hunch to my satisfaction, and not much longer to lock the whole thing down. There's even an Amazon widget displaying Garlasco's book at the bottom of his Huffington Post article, though that may be automatically generated. The book might even be listed on his CV because, after all, none of this is illegal. Just potentially unseemly.

The collector Marc Garlasco certainly doesn't keep his day job secret from his fellow memorabilia collectors. There are at least two public references to his life as an HRW investigator on the forums. In one thread he posts dozens upon dozens of pictures from his collection at the end of 2007, which he describes as having been a "very lucky" year. A friend responds "Jeez Louise!! I had no idea HRW paid the big bucks!!" In another thread he comments on a badge and gushes "I would kill for that - WOW!" A friend responds "now now, HRW boy, don't go overboard!"

So we have to assume he's not leading a double life and that his employers know about his extracurriculars. If so we can also safely assume they've investigated the numerous demonstrable errors in his anti-Israel writeups. They presumably concluded that his apologism for antisemitic genocidal Hamas lunatics is unrelated to his obsession with antisemitic genocidal Nazi lunatics. That would be interesting to hear.

If Garlasco has been less than forthright about what he does in his off-time - and if HRW hasn't taken an hour to Google him and figure it out for themselves - that would be interesting in a different way.

Either way, someone needs to explain why he keeps getting sent to the Middle East to write debunked report after debunked report, lest people suspect that he has an unseemly motive for his consistently anti-Israel errors.

Continue reading "Marc Garlasco - Is HRW's Anti-Israel Investigator A Nazi-Obsessed Collector?" »

Today In Nuked MR YouTube Videos

Antisemitic Cretins

The latest in a series. It's a perfect topic: a glimpse into how the other side thinks, an appreciation for what they're willing to say out loud, and - most importantly - easy content for me. Since we're a couple weeks away from the total insanity that will break out over the Goldstone Report - this is the report that will blame Israel for the civilian deaths caused by Hamas's use of human shields - how about we start with one of that organization's more charming contributions:

Deleted comment:

haychex: ahh well, what are you going to do.. when they're right, they're right.. zionism is terrorism and Israel has no place in the UN.

And here's Hezbollah - Iran's other human-shield adoring regional proxy - moving around the missiles the UN has ostensibly ensured they don't have:

Rejected bon mot from that video:

J4archae: Hezbollah should acquire nuclear weapons and eliminate fcukng zionist scum jews off the face of earth.

No worries though. He's just talking about the genocide of Zionist Jews. So no antisemitism there.

References:
* Right of Reply: Isolating Israel through language of human rights [JPost]
* HRW: "No Basis" For Claims That Hezbollah Used Human Shields. MR: What About All The Photos And Videos [Video] [MR]

Previously:
* We Get Mail - Irony Impaired UC Irvine Liberals Are Stupid
* Today's Nuked YouTube Comments From MR's Iranian Anti-Semitism Post
* We Get Mail - Pro-Holocaust YouTube Cretin Edition

Surveillance Video Shows Hezbollah Moving Some Of Their 40,000 Rockets To Israeli Border, War Could "Explode At Any Minute" [Video]

Moving

A nice followup to the Hezbollah arms cache that exploded last month:

Three years after Israel fought a bloody war in Lebanon against Hezbollah, there are fears that hostilities could erupt again -- this time with the militant group better armed than ever... Hezbollah has up to 40,000 rockets and is training its forces to use ground-to-ground missiles capable of hitting Tel Aviv, and anti-aircraft missiles that could challenge Israel's dominance of the skies over Lebanon. Brigadier-General Alon Friedman, the deputy head of the Israeli Northern Command, told The Times from his headquarters overlooking the Israeli-Lebanese border that the peace of the past three years could "explode at any minute".

His concerns were due partly to threats from Hezbollah's leadership. Last month Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of Hezbollah, warned that if the southern suburbs of Beirut were bombed as they were in the last war, he would strike back against Tel Aviv, the largest Israeli city. "We have changed the equation that had existed previously," he said. "Now the southern suburbs versus Tel Aviv, and not Beirut versus Tel Aviv."

Of course these videos and quotes won't matter once Lebanon III gets underway and Hezbollah's left-leaning international friends go to work blaming Israel (cf. UNRWA's brazen claim during Cast Lead that there was a magical super-secret ceasefire which Israel "obviously" violated):

Hezbollah has extended its international reach by establishing contacts with left-leaning, environmental and peace groups opposed to U.S.-led economic globalization, analysts and people tied to the group say. The Lebanese Shiite Muslim militant organization and political party, which is designated as a terrorist group by the United States, has participated through a front organization in dozens of gatherings where attendees criticized U.S. foreign policy and global financial institutions such as the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. The aim, analysts say, is to rally support for armed opposition to Israel among groups that regard the West's policies as a threat to developing countries and to the environment.

Almost difficult to believe that the watered down UN sanctions passed in the context of international sympathy have failed to stop arms smuggling. No worries. I'm sure that Britain's eagerness to engage Hezbollah's "political wing" will teach them a lesson!

References:
* Hezbollah stockpiles 40,000 rockets near Israel border [Times Online]
* Illegal Lebanon arms may have been Hezbollah's -UN [Reuters]
* Hezbollah finds left-leaning friends abroad [LAT]
* UN Palestinian Stooge: "It's Obvious" That Israeli Attack Violated 48-Hour Truce That No One Knew About Until Now [MR]
* Britain's Double Vision of Hezbollah? [CT Blog]

Previously:
* Aww... Hezbollah Likely To Forgive, Make Up With Breathtakingly Moronic VP
* Great News: UNIFIL Breaking Up Israel's Anti-Hezbollah Spy Rings
* UNIFIL Peacekeepers Now Actively Trying To Start A War In Lebanon

New Pew Study: No, Of Course There Was No Cairo Speech "Obama Effect" In Lebanon Or Iran

Affected

Or in the rest of the Middle East either.

Which is weird because I was told - with no small amount of worshipful ululation - that Obama was responsible both for the Lebanon election results (Guardian article, cached Kos recommended diary) and for the protests in Iran. This is the same kind of post hoc logic that children use when they blow out birthday candles and then their wish comes true. Like magic!

Except in children naive slack-jawed credulity is charming. Less so in internationally read newspaper columns and global public diplomacy initiatives.

Regarding Iran, I don't know why Obama wouldn't take credit for the protests if that was his goal. Maybe he's just really modest. I also don't know why his pro-regime outreach would result in anti-regime protests, especially under the assumption that he's a popular figure on the Muslim street. Maybe he's just really tricky.

Ditto for Lebanon, since Obama indicated he'd be willing to engage Hezbollah if they won. So Hezbollah voters who were overwhelmed by the Cairo speech and wanted to build a relationship with the US... umm, didn't have to change their votes at all.

There certainly wasn't any massive shift in Lebanese public opinion. For all of the MSM's talk of a "stunning setback," Hezbollah actually picked up a seat. Some setback. I'm sure "setback" is how it would've been described if Bush was in office too. The line "the US-backed March 14th Alliance, closely linked to Mr. Bush's Middle East democratization efforts, lost ground to Hezbollah" would never have come up.

Anyway now there are numbers on this moronic fantasy:

President Barack Obama's much-heralded speech last month in Egypt did little to change America's image in the Muslim world, a survey released Thursday shows. Muslim people were not so easily moved by Obama's speech June 4, according to interviews conducted by the Pew Research Center's Global Attitudes Project. "This analysis suggests that the speech had little measurable impact on views of the U.S. or Obama himself," the Pew researchers said.

Luckily the French and the Germans love us again. They don't love us enough to actually change any of their policies in a way Obama would like them to. But now presumably they feel a tinge of guilt about the whole thing.

The "Obama Effect" myth is more than just typical nutroots Obama worship. The administration actually believes this crap. They're using it as a basis for foreign policy decision making, with exactly the results you'd expect:

Mr. Obama will have to acknowledge the "foreignness" of foreign lands. His breezy self-assurance has been put on notice. The Obama administration believed its own rhetoric that the pro-Western March 14 coalition in Lebanon had ridden Mr. Obama's coattails to an electoral victory. (It had given every indication that it expected similar vindication in Iran.) But the claim about Lebanon was hollow and reflected little understanding of the forces at play in Lebanon's politics. That contest was settled by Lebanese rules, and by the push and pull of Saudi and Syrian and Iranian interests in Lebanon.

I can't totally begrudge the left their celebratory hosanas. If the Lebanon vote had gone the other way the righty blogosphere would've been awash with headlines like "Lebanon Responds To Obama's Open Hand By Electing Iran's Genocidal Proxies." And for their part the nutroots and their pseudo-sophisticated enablers would've unable to contain their condescension for simpletons who expected "one speech to reverse a decade of mistrust."

Of course pointing out that there was no effect is already one step less logically ambitious than insisting on a correlation. Which, by my count, makes the left's celebrations of a Cairo Speech Obama Effect doubly idiotic.

References and previously after the jump...

Continue reading "New Pew Study: No, Of Course There Was No Cairo Speech "Obama Effect" In Lebanon Or Iran" »

UNIFIL Peacekeepers Now Actively Trying To Start A War In Lebanon

War In Lebanon

UNIFIL is all but explicitly structured to provide cover for Hezbollah. The UN drew UNIFIL peacekeepers from countries where as many as nine out of ten people oppose the existence of Israel. They watched while some UNIFIL troops embraced Lebanon as a "second homeland." They helped cover up UNIFIL's complicity in Hezbollah's kidnapping of Israeli soldiers.

UNIFIL troops have threatened to down IAF planes. They have leaked Israeli intel to Hezbollah. And they have recently begun using their resources to undermine Israeli information gathering, dealing a body blow to Israel's warfighting capabilities.

And now those useful idiots are helping to stage potential acts of war:

The UNIFIL troops who have been stationed in southern Lebanon and given a mandate to maintain peace in the region, have in fact done the exact opposite by assisting the small group of Hizbullah supporters in their illegal border crossing into Israel over the weekend... 15 Lebanese civilians crossed illegally into Israel, shouting and waving Hizbullah flags. IDF troops spotted the group, but did not confront them as they returned to Lebanon minutes later, and without incident...

Shalev accused a contingent of Indian UNIFIL peacekeepers of having done nothing to prevent the demonstrators from crossing the border and even cooperating with the group. "[The demonstrators] stood opposite the UNIFIL force, [which did nothing,] and worse than that, according to statements made by the organizers of the demonstration, they even cooperated with them," the letter read.

If another Lebanon war does start - and this would be the second one in a row that UNIFIL helped trigger - Hezbollah will be ready for it. Thanks to Iran and Syria they've piled up thousands of rockets inside homes and bunkers. UNIFIL knows about the caches. They just can't be moved to do anything about them:

UNIFIL learned a few months ago about the cache of Katyusha rockets that exploded in the southern Lebanese village of Hirbet Salim last Tuesday, a government source in Jerusalem said. The source said UNIFIL had precise information about the cache and a number of other installations where Hezbollah is storing rockets, but that UNIFIL had done nothing...

Government officials dealing with the Lebanon issue say UNIFIL soldiers encounter armed Hezbollah fighters or are detained by them, but the incidents do not appear in the reports submitted to the Security Council. On Saturday it was reported that that area residents prevented UNIFIL soldiers from searching an abandoned building near the building that blew up last week, in which it is believed Hezbollah stored weapons, against UN Security Council resolution 1701. A Lebanese security official said dozens of civilians surrounded UNIFIL vehicles and blocked the road leading to the building. The UNIFIL forces retreated with the assistance of the Lebanese army.

But it's OK. Because sometimes UNIFIL troops bump into tens of staged rockets pointed at Israel. So there's probably no truth to the accusation that they're just there to be human shields, huddling inside their bases while Hezbollah fires rockets at Israeli civilians from their courtyards in the hope that Israel will fire back and cause an international incident.

References and previously after the jump...

Continue reading "UNIFIL Peacekeepers Now Actively Trying To Start A War In Lebanon" »

More Reports Of Hezbollah Thugs Beating Iranian Protesters

Beatings

Of all the regime's atrocities, both great and petty, it's something small like this that might finally detonate its legitimacy.

The Iranian Revolution is built on two pillars. The first involves populism and popular rule, enshrined as the "Republic" part of the "Islamic Republic." Iran's democratic trappings, such as they are, provide a point of pride for Iranians. Both domestically and internationally, Iranians contrast their system with autocratic Sunni regimes. The protests have been so fierce in part because the loss of that democratic legitimacy strikes at the core of Iranian identity.

The other pillar is the peculiar kind of Islamic nationalism that Khomeini managed to create by fusing Iranian nationalism with political Islamic. If Lenin's trick was to harness Russian nationalism in the cause of Communism - to get revolutionaries to identify vanguard Soviet Communism an expression of Russian greatness - Khomeini did the same thing with Shiite Islam.

The Iran-Iraq war gave Khomeini the opportunity to make Iranian nationalism indistinguishable from fanatical Islam. He called on Iranians to defend the country in the name of Islam and deployed "martyrdom operations" that could only be justified by Islamic theology. A country looking to explain to itself why waves of pubescent boys are being sent across mine fields to clear the way for the soldiers behind them - that's a country that's going to reach out for some powerful ideological machinery.

Khomeini managed to attach his brand of Islam to powerful, millennial-old sentiments of Persian pride. But the flip side was that Iranian political Islam, in contrast to Sunni-motivated political Islam, relies on nationalism to get some of its emotional oomph. All of which is a very roundabout way of saying that this is not going to play well:

Continue reading "More Reports Of Hezbollah Thugs Beating Iranian Protesters" »

Great News: UNIFIL Breaking Up Israel's Anti-Hezbollah Spy Rings

UNIFIL/Hezbollah

See? And you thought the worst they were doing was handing over Israeli intelligence to Hezbollah so that Hezbollah could root out spies and double agents. Not nearly ambitious enough:

UNIFIL peacekeepers in Lebanon, whose mandate was to ensure that Hizbullah not be permitted to rearm or expand it's presence south of the Litani River following the Second Lebanon War, has been engaged in an altogether different mission - arresting those suspected of spying for Israe... one Spanish UNIFIL commander mentioned that his troops had been "looking for Israeli spies," and had in fact made a "number of arrests, mostly in Shia areas of Lebanon."

In 2006 a UNIFIL truck went missing while under the supervision of a peacekeeper who describes Lebanon as his "second homeland." It turned up a few months later when it was used by Hezbollah to lure Israeli soldiers to the Lebanese border, kill them, steal their bodies, and start a regional war. Apparently the beefed up post-war UNIFIL presence - which, remember, was the pro-Israeli side of the ceasefire resolution - hasn't really done much to change UNIFIL's institutional culture.

Earlier this year there were a spate of bombings and near bombings targeting UNIFIL forces. That seems to have died down. I'm not saying there was a formal quid pro quo, but UN peacekeepers aren't usually known for their initiative. These are the same people who insist that they're doing more than enough to prevent Hezbollah from rearming:

It is highly unlikely that Hizbullah has more weapons now in southern Lebanon than they did at the time of their 2006 war with Israel, the head of UN peacekeeping said on Wednesday. Israel says Hizbullah continues to increase its weapons stockpiles south of the Litani River where the 13,000-strong UNIFIL peacekeeping mission is charged with keeping out armed fighters and illicit weapons. "I think it would be very difficult for Hizbullah to put additional weapons in the area," Alain Le Roy, the French head of the UN Department of Peacekeeping, told reporters. "I don't speak of north of the Litani River, because there UNIFIL has no mandate," he said. "But south of the Litani River, we consider it very unlikely."

That, in case you didn't know, is bullshit. And the way you can be sure it's bullshit is because UNIFIL troops watched Hezbollah moving weapons south of the Litani, right before they were shooed away like errant children. That's why the UN admitted over two years ago that Hezbollah had rearmed south of the Litani. Maybe they gave up all their weapons in the intervening time, and the only person they told was Le Roy (h/t: MR reader Jerry) .

References and previously after the jump...

Continue reading "Great News: UNIFIL Breaking Up Israel's Anti-Hezbollah Spy Rings" »

Aww... Hezbollah Likely To Forgive, Make Up With Breathtakingly Moronic VP

Make Up

Sure he made a last ditch visit to influence the Lebanese election, a probably futile effort to keep half a billion's worth of US security assistance out of Hezbollah's hands. But trifles like that shouldn't be allowed to interfere with long established friendships:

Hezbollah is now accusing the U.S. of trying to influence the vote in favor of the pro-freedom, Western-backed March 14 Alliance. They claim that the visits by Clinton and now Biden raised "strong suspicion and amounted to a clear and detailed interference in Lebanon's affairs."... But the terrorist group will not likely remain angry at Biden. Back in 2007, Biden voted against a Senate amendment that would name Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) - Hezbollah's benefactor - as a terrorist organization.

In 1983, then-Senator Biden and other Senate Democrats demanded under the War Powers Act... that President Reagan announce when the Marine peacekeeping force would leave Lebanon. Despite a warning from Marine Corps Commandant Gen. P.X. Kelley that a partisan debate over timelines would encourage attacks on our troops, Democrats still voted to end the deployment. Once they knew that the American resolve was exhausted, Hezbollah simply had to kill a few Marines... Less than a month after the Senate vote, the Marine headquarters in Beirut was attacked.

In an interview with the New Republic in 1986, Biden bragged about personally stopping covert operations by threatening to "go public."

And of course, there was that time when he held up Bolton's confirmation, because Bolton had the temerity to suggest that Syria was pursuing nukes. If I was part of the Iran-Syria-Hezbollah axis, I couldn't stay mad at him either:

I had a bitter struggle with several IC agencies -- news of which was leaked to the press -- concerning my testimony before the House Foreign Affairs Committee about the Syrian program. Then Sen. Joe Biden made the Syria testimony an issue in my 2005 confirmation battle to become ambassador to the United Nations, alleging that I had tried to hype concern about Syria's nuclear intentions. (In fact, my testimony, in both its classified and unclassified versions, was far more anodyne than the facts warranted.

The Serbians that Biden demonized before dropping in to hamfistedly try repairing relations in the background of another vapid "reset" quote - they seem a lot less forgiving. Which is a shame, because if they got to know him they'd realize that he's a veritable fount of erudition.

Almost difficult to believe that Obama's getting sidetracked by this genius. At least he never makes big gaffes, like blabbering publicly about national security secrets. And you can be sure of that, because he said so himself.

References and previously after the jump...

Continue reading "Aww... Hezbollah Likely To Forgive, Make Up With Breathtakingly Moronic VP" »

US Security Assistance To Lebanon Already Being Turned Against Israel

Security Assistance

I honestly thought that the resigned "well that was hard to predict" post about security assistance to Lebanon would come next month, when Hezbollah will probably win the election and assume control over "all the security and administrative apparatus of the state." It's been obvious since 2007 - when the Pentagon got the brilliant idea to modernize the Lebanese military - that US weapons would eventually be turned against Israel.

I should probably say "turned against Israel again," since the exact same thing happened with the hundreds of tons of weapons that the US gave to Fatah troops in Gaza. It's almost as if there's a flaw in the Arabist logic of arming "least of all evils" Arab regimes even while those regimes incite anti-Western hatred.

Lebanon is already a country where the elites have switched from honoring anti-Syrian martyrs to celebrating the freedom of Hezbollah-linked child murdering filthbags. Some of that has to do with how Hezbollah's taken to killing people who attend Hariri memorials. But a lot of it is a matter of reading political tea leaves. Secular playboys and fundamentalist jihadists are getting along famously. Even the UN admits that Hezbollah is intimidating its way to a probable electoral victory.

Of course none of that has stopped the US from pouring tanks and anti-aircraft weapons and drones into the Lebanese security apparatus:

The United States said Tuesday it is providing Lebanon with 12 unmanned military aircraft in the coming months, the latest effort to bolster the fragile Mideast nation. Washington hopes a strengthened Lebanese military would extend state authority across the country, where the militant Hezbollah is gaining power with its arsenal of rockets that threaten another U.S. ally, neighboring Israel. A strong national army could be a counter to Hezbollah's weapons and could deprive the militants of the excuse to keep their arms.

There are two arguments here: (1) the LAF will turn their weapons against Hezbollah and (2) Hezbollah will lose their "we're only keeping our weapons because the LAF can't protect Lebanon" excuses. The latter argument is just pro forma. Pseudo-sophisticated apologias about Hezbollah's vaunted "autonomy" notwithstanding, no one is stupid enough to believe that they'll disarm without a fight.

As for the first argument, that's not who the Lebanese are targeting:

Continue reading "US Security Assistance To Lebanon Already Being Turned Against Israel" »

Hezbollah And Neo-Nazis Agree: Pat Oliphant's Anti-Semitic Cartoon Is Exquisite

Agreement

Maybe they lost the memo about how it's not anti-Semitic. It certainly looks anti-Semitic, so unless you get the physical memo it's an easy mistake to make:

The controversial cartoon by syndicated cartoonist Pat Oliphant that appeared on the New York Times and the Washington Post websites last month, and was also used by other American newspapers, has since been reproduced on neo-Nazi websites worldwide... Oliphant depicted a woman carrying a baby being pushed off a cliff by a goose-stepping headless figure holding a Star of David with sharp fangs. The cartoon has also now been reproduced, with the caption "Zionist Nazism," on the website of the Lebanese terrorist group, Hezbollah.

This nudge-wink "it's just anti-Zionism" game has always been a little surreal. No newspaper would ever publish an article accusing a black politician of "publicly lynching his opponent in the press." The unseemliness of inverting the history of anti-black violence would border on bigotry. And no newspaper would ever print a cartoon that depicted cascading Sub-Saharan instability as a black male "Africa" assaulting a white female "Europe." Invoking racist tropes to incite public outrage is, well, racist.

But Israeli Jews as baby-killing Nazis? That just sophisticated and brave anti-Zionism.

I'm actually surprised that anti-Israel partisans are still bothering with the formality of "Zionist Jews" as opposed to just "Jews." It's the equivalent of those "Death To All Juice" signs at the pro-Hamas rallies, where the fanatics unblinkingly insisted that they weren't talking about Jews at all. Except I guess that editors would treat "Juice" as a typo and ask Mearsheimer to correct it.

So "Zionist Jews" it is.

References:
* WaPo/NY Times's "anti-Semitic" cartoon becomes Hezbollah propaganda [NRO / Tom Gross]
* "Death to all juice": Calling for genocide with plausible deniability? [Jihad Watch]
* John Mearsheimer - Not Anti-Semitic. Just Anti-Semiticish [MR]

Previously:
* Israeli Public Diplomacy Expert : British Boycott Is Vicious Anti-Semitism
* John Mearsheimer - Not Anti-Semitic. Just Anti-Semiticish
* Hamas Decides to Be Helpful, Illustrates Many Ways International Law is Structured Against Israel

British Officials Paying Thousands Of Pounds To Attend UK Lecture By Hezbollah Mouthpiece

Official

Lots of people are pretty het up about how the UK is admitting Hezbollah Media Relations Officer Ibrahim Moussawi - a venomous and genocidal anti-Semite - after bouncing Wilders:

There can be little doubt now that this government, a Labour government, is going to allow Hezbollah's Media Relations Officer, Ibrahim Moussawi, into the United Kingdom... Let's briefly recap the reasons that representatives of Hezbollah and Al Manar, and Mr Moussawi in particular, should be banned from Britain. Moussawi was famously reported as having described Jews as "a lesion on the forehead of history" He has worked for some time as Hezbollah's propagandist, working as the Head of Political Programming the fiercely and viciously antisemitic Al Manar television station. Al Manar: broadcast "Diaspora", a dramatisation of the Protocols of the Elders of Zion, in which Jews were depicted planning the Holocaust, and murdering children to drink their blood... Put simply, Moussawi's job involves inciting hatred against Jews... The position was, of course, different when it came to Geert Wilders. As you know, I supported the ban on Geert Wilders because - in calling for Muslims to be encouraged to leave the Netherlands - I felt that he had overstepped the mark. But the obnoxious nature of Wilders' views doesn't even begin to compare with Moussawi's vicious, anti-semitic, and terrorist politics.

This will be at least the second time that Moussawi is allowed into Britain. But here's the best part:

[The UK is spending] 2,000 pounds per government official to hear a lecture on tolerance by hate cleric Ibrahim Moussawi: "Government officials will spend thousands of pounds of taxpayers' money to attend a lecture by an Islamic extremist... the lectures Moussawi plans to deliver are targeted at Whitehall officials who deal in foreign affairs and extremism. They will each spend up to £1,890 of taxpayers' cash attending the Political Islam event at the University of London's School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS) next month.

They're letting him in so they can pay him to lecture about how contemporary Islam has nothing to do with extremism. If only there was a phrase about people who intentionally seek ideological confirmation while shutting out contradictory information. Something from the psychology literature perhaps.

References:
* Outrage as SOAS invites Hizbollah-linked speaker [The JC]
* Labour Goverment To Allow Hezbollah's Moussawi Into The United Kingdom [Harry's Place]
* I'm Going To Miss Westminster Abbey - Prince Charles Abandons 500 Year Old Tradition, Wants To Be Defender Of All-Inclusive "Faith" (Plus: Muslim Reciprocation Somewhat Underwhelming In Its Generosity) [MR]
* Wacky Ways British Officials Have Spent Money In The Last Few Weeks [MR]

Previously:
* British Watchdog's Report: BBC Coverage Less Than Impartial
* What Painting Should Britain Send Obama To Replace The Churchill Bust He Returned?
* AP: British Diplomat Who Screamed For Israel To Be Wiped Out Was "Criticizing Israel's Conduct" (Plus: British Anti-Semitism Now Kind Of An Everyday Thing)

Hezbollah: The West Better Be Ready To Grovel

Ready

When Britain announced that they'd be engaging the child murdering pathological lunatics from Hezbollah, the idea was that they'd get Hezbollah to change their tone:

On Wednesday, a British minister said the government was open to talks with Hezbollah's political wing. "We have reconsidered the position...in light of more positive developments within Lebanon," Foreign Office Minister Bill Rammell told a parliamentary committee. "For that reason we have explored establishing contacts." He said he was referring to the formation in July last year of a unity government in which Hezbollah and its allies hold effective veto power, as agreed under a deal that ended a paralyzing political conflict in the country. "We will look to have further discussions and our overriding objective within that is to press Hezbollah to play a more constructive role, particularly to move away from violence," Rammell said.

Yeah, not so much:

Hezbollah deputy leader Sheik Naim Kassem on Saturday said his Iranian-backed militant group expects new language from the West in dealing with it. Kassem's comments came after Hezbollah officials said they will welcome public talks with Britain. He also said he welcomed a new European approach toward the militant Lebanese group. Earlier in the week, Britain announced its decision to reestablish ties with Hezbollah as part of an effort to press the militant organization to disarm... Earlier Friday, a spokesman for the Lebanese Shi'ite group said Britain had taken a "step in the right direction" by signaling willingness to talk to Hezbollah. "This policy revision is a step in the right direction and we shall see how it translates in practical terms," Hezbollah spokesman Ibrahim al-Moussawi said.

You know what? That's a really surprising reaction from a death cult that brutally tortured US Colonel Rich Higgins to death:

In the late 1980s when I was serving as an army officer in the Office of the Secretary of Defense, a friend of mine - Colonel Rich Higgins - was kidnapped by Hezbollah while he was serving as a UN military observer in Lebanon. I was part of a small team in the Pentagon that tried very hard, through many channels, to secure Rich's release. As it turned out, he had been tortured and killed months before our efforts to free him finally ended. I am one of a small handful of Americans who knows the exact manner of Rich's death. If I were to describe it to you now - which I will not - I can guarantee that a significant number of people in this room would become physically ill. When my former business partner Rich Armitage described Hezbollah a few years ago as the "A-Team" of international terrorism and suggested that there was a "blood debt" to be paid, he was referring to a leadership cadre that is steeped in blood and brutality.

Kind of puts into perspective those rumors that Britain is laying the groundwork for Obama's own Hezbollah outreach. Or as the State Department phrased it, they'd "closely follow developments between the U.K. and Hezbollah."

Ah well. Maybe he can talk them out of trying to attack Israel's embassies. Again.

References and previously after the jump...

Continue reading "Hezbollah: The West Better Be Ready To Grovel" »

Jimmy Carter Gets His Wish: Hezbollah Has Anti-Aircraft Missiles

Wish

Remember how Jimmy Carter was horrified at Hezbollah's lack of anti-aircraft missiles?

The Lebanese Hezbollah terrorist organization lacks missiles to "defend" itself from Israeli aircraft, former President Jimmy Carter claimed upon returning from a trip last week to Lebanon. "The general showed us a graph of the many flights of Israeli planes over all parts of Lebanon, averaging about a dozen each day. Neither Hezbollah nor the Lebanese Armed Forces have any anti-aircraft weapons for defense," wrote Carter in a first-person report posted on his Carter Center website... "At one site near the border, two different Israeli tanks came about 70 yards from us to observe our group," Carter wrote, before claiming Hezbollah lacks anti-aircraft weapons for "defense" against Israeli over flights.

He can apparently rest easy:

Hezbollah said it has a right to acquire and use antiaircraft weaponry against Israeli warplanes, in a ceremony commemorating assassinated leaders of the Lebanese Shiite Muslim militant group. "We have the right to possess any weapons including air defense arms, and we have all the right to use these arms if we wished to," Hezbollah's leader Hassan Nasrallah said to crowds in the southern suburb of Beirut, which is the group's stronghold. Nasrallah did not confirm or deny whether the group had acquired antiaircarft missiles but said that Hezbollah has built its successes on the "basis of surprises."

Elder has a different translation of Nasrallah's speech, where "not confirm or deny" appears to be more confirm and less deny.

References:
* Carter laments: Terrorists lack 'defense' against Israel [WND]
* LEBANON: Hezbollah threatens to shoot down Israeli jets [LAT]
* Does Hezbollah have anti-aircraft weapons? [Elder]

Previously:
* Hezbollah Using Proxies To Bomb Israeli Civilians, Erode Israel's Deterrent
* So... When Does Hezbollah Get Involved? (Plus: Why Egypt Will Stay Out) (UPDATE: Or Not)
* Russia Running Out Of Israeli Enemies That They Haven't Provided With Cutting-Edge Military Tech

Rockets Slam Into Northern And Southern Israeli Towns

Palestinian Rockets

Take an Iranian regime that refers to the rockets they supply as "resistance rockets." Add a genocidal religious ideology that erodes any longterm deterrent. Mix in the plurality of Gazans who favor continued rocket attacks on Israeli civilians...

08) What is your attitude to the firing of rockets at present on Israel from Gaza?
18.5% 1. Strongly favour
20.8% 2. Favour
33.5% 3. Undecided
14.3% 4. Oppose
12.9% 5. Strongly oppose

... and somehow you end up with a situation where Palestinian soldiers are firing more and more rockets at Israeli civilians in southern Israel:

South under fire, again: A rocket landed in south Ashkelon around 10 pm Saturday, prompting residents to take cover in secured rooms. The rocket attack was preceded by a warning siren activated in the southern section of the city. No injuries or damages were reported in the attack... Earlier in the evening, two mortar shells were fired at Israel from Gaza , after Katyusha rockets exploded in the north earlier in the day. The mortar shells apparently landed in Shaar HaNegev Regional Council. No injuries or damage were reported, and security forces were seeking to pin-point the landing sites. Amid talk of a materializing ceasefire in Gaza, terror organizations have continued to pelt Israel with rockets in recent weeks.

These follow the 50+ rockets that they've launched since the end of Cast Lead. Perhaps feeling a little left out, Israel's enemies to the north also got into the action over the weekend:

A Katyusha rocket fired from Lebanon Saturday morning landed near a home in Israel's western Galilee region. Three members of the family residing in the home sustained mild injuries in the attack, and two more suffered from shock. The wounded were treated by Magen David Adom paramedics and then evacuated to a hospital in Nahariya. The structure was damaged. Security sources in Lebanon said a second Katyusha landed in Lebanese territory. They said the rocket fire emanated from the area of Mansouri, south of Tyre, and that Israel responded by firing at least six artillery shells into southern Lebanon.

No doubt UNIFIL will spring to action and place its peacekeepers on high alert. Again. And no doubt Israel will announce that Hezbollah is responsible for the rocket fire. Again. Nasrallah seems genuinely intent on testing his own boasts about destroying the IDF in the next war that Iran and its proxies start. I really hope Bibi knows what he's doing.

UPDATE: I forgot to mention that Palestinian soldiers also fired rockets at Israeli troops yesterday:

Palestinian militants in the Gaza Strip on Sunday fired two mortar rounds at Israel Defense Forces soldiers near the border, Israel Radio reported. A Qassam rocket hit the western Negev earlier on Sunday. There were no casualties or damages reported in either incident on Sunday. On Saturday, a rocket struck Ashkelon, a day after Gaza militants fired 10 mortar shells and a Qassam rocket into the western Negev on Friday. IDF troops operating in the Kissufim area identified the source of the rocket fire and opened fire in the direction of the launchers across the border.

Best. Ceasefire. Ever.

References and previously after the jump...

Continue reading "Rockets Slam Into Northern And Southern Israeli Towns" »

Video: Israeli Missile Defense Group Emphasizes Need, Technological Feasibility Of Anti-Missile Systems

Iranian Missile Threat

There is a certain camp in Israel - let's call them "the vast majority of military experts" - who are less than confident about Obama's ability to prevent Iran from getting the Bomb. It could be because Iranian hardliners are constantly gaining influence, especially on nuclear issues. Or it could be because going nuclear is Iran's top priority so we can't offer them anything more important. Or it could be because Obama himself is geopolitically and diplomatically retreating from his commitment to prevent Iranian nuclearization. Regardless - if Iran isn't already past the point of no return they will be soon enough.

An Israeli military attack is now off the table. The State Department will spend the next few months figuring out the precise amount of groveling it'll take before the mullahs will deign to sit down with Obama. During that time Israel will have to sit quietly on the sidelines or get blamed for knocking out the new administration's diplomatic knees. And when Iran decides it's ready to be appeased, part of the package will include security guarantees against military attacks - by the US or by the US's allies.

Closer to the Israeli border, Hezbollah and Hamas have made life unlivable for millions of Israelis. By the time the next war starts, Iran's proxies will be able to blanket all of Israel with rockets and missiles. It's only a matter of time before missiles strike the skyscrapers in Tel Aviv. Israel's enemies are remarkably vigorous when it comes to transforming smuggled materials - already flooding into post-Cast Lead Gaza - into anti-civilian projectiles. Keeping advanced weapons out of Gaza and South Lebanon is ultimately impossible: if it can fly and blow up, some genocidal fanatic is eventually going to try to use it to murder Israelis.

Ergo: the Israeli Missile Defense Association (IMDA), a non-profit group dedicated to making two fundamental points: missile defensive is militarily imperative and technologically feasible. These are serious people. The Board of Directors is a who's who of retired Israeli military officials, with generals from throughout the IDF and IAF. The Board of Advisors includes several of Israel's most prominent ambassadors, including Dore Gold. The Executive Director is Avi Schnurr, a recognized expert with more than two decades of engineering and policy experience in missile defense. This is a group with the ethos and the access to bring much-needed changes to public discourse and government policy. But - new as they are - they still lack exposure and resources:

Continue reading "Video: Israeli Missile Defense Group Emphasizes Need, Technological Feasibility Of Anti-Missile Systems" »

Hezbollah Using Proxies To Bomb Israeli Civilians, Erode Israel's Deterrent

Proxies

Old expression: once is a happenstance, twice is a coincidence, third time is enemy action. Technically we're still at coincidence...

At least three Katyusha rockets were fired from Lebanon at northern Israel on Wednesday morning, reigniting fears of a second front opening during Israel's offensive against Hamas in Gaza... Hours after the initial morning exchange, three more Grad rockets that were set to be fired were discovered and dismantled by Lebanese troops, Lebanese security officials said... A similar incident occurred on Thursday, when at least two Katyusha rockets fired from south Lebanon exploded in northern Israel. Two people were lightly wounded in the attack, and a number of others suffered from shock.

... but that's just a formality:

The firing of Katyusha rockets from Lebanon into northern Israel on Wednesday, for the second time in one week, is the result of Hezbollah's desire to alter the balance of power that has existed between the militant organization and Israel since the Second Lebanon War. Hezbollah seeks to lay the foundation for a situation in the future in which the group can freely fire Katyushas at Israel, or use proxies to do so, without this constituting an all-out declaration of war, as occurred in the summer of 2006. No group has yet taken responsibility for last Thursday's rocket fire and, in the meantime, no one has claimed Wednesday's attack, but it is clear that little happens in southern Lebanon without being coordinated in advance with Hezbollah... Lebanese commentators assert that the scenario in which a Palestinian group, probably Ahmed Jibril's Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine, does the dirty work for Hezbollah, is the one that we are seeing now.

This is the same trick Hamas used during the ostensible ceasefire: barrage Israeli civilians with rockets and - should Israel respond - watch as the world screeches about the IDF's "disproportionate response" to "harmless rockets." Except in this case you'll also have international sophisticates unblinkingly parroting Hezbollah's line about how they don't have anything to do with the rockets, and throwing in some hyper-specific but totally irrelevant Lebanese namechecks for good measure). The Iran-Hezbollah-Hamas axis's hope is that Israel - knowing in advance that this will be the global reaction - will be dissuaded from retaliating even while their civilians are increasingly terrorized.

But hey - at least UNIFIL and the Lebanese army are increasing their patrols in response to the barrage. Which is what they did after the first rocket attack. Which didn't work. Shockingly.

References:
* 3 rockets fired from Lebanon hit north Israel; IDF returns fire [Ha'aretz]
* ANALYSIS / Hezbollah seeking to change the rules of the game [Ha'aretz]
* Lebanon: Hizbullah denies connection to rocket fire on northern Israel [YNet]
* Report: Lebanese army boosts troops along Israel border [YNet]

Previously:
* Friends Of Likud Conference Call - Gen. Moshe Ya'alon On Whether Hezbollah Will Open Up A Second Front
* Several Good Reasons Why Hezbollah Either Will Or Won't Attack
* America's Voices Conference Call - Operation Cast Lead

Friends Of Likud Conference Call - Gen. Moshe Ya'alon On Whether Hezbollah Will Open Up A Second Front

Hezbollah Fronts

This morning's conference call - organized by Friends Of Likud - was with former Israeli Chief of Staff Moshe Ya'alon. He discussed a bunch of other things above and beyond Hezbollah: post-operation Gaza scenarios, Arab-Israel fifth column considerations, peace process strategy, etc. But I have a bunch of Hezbollah links that I need to dump and - since he's a recognized Lebanon expert - this is as good a hook as any.

The good news is that he was unequivocal that Hezbollah doesn't have the wherewithal to attack Israel right now. It's not that they don't want to. It's just that they're deterred by a potential Israeli response. For all that the Lebanon II ground campaign was unsuccessful, the IAF proved that it can level urban infrastructure at will. Cast Lead, in turn, proved that the Israeli government is willing to let it.

The bad news is that Ya'alon never thought Hezbollah would launch Lebanon II either. His famous line was that their Iranian-supplied missiles would rust in launchers. 4,000 strikes on Israeli cities later, not so much. Plus Israel's current Head of Military Intelligence, Amos Yadlin, thinks that Hezbollah intervention is a real possibility:

Head of Military Intelligence Maj. Gen. Amos Yadlin told the cabinet Sunday that Hezbollah might carry out a limited attack in the north via a Palestinian terror group in response to the Israel Defense Forces ground operation now underway in Gaza. A government source in Jerusalem said that the military is on high alert in the north against a flare-up. The source said many reservists have been called up for service in the north... "Hezbollah might carry out a low-profile attack by means of a Palestinian organization that would be limited and not set the border alight," Yadlin said. He added that forces also remained on high alert in light of a possible Hezbollah strike against an Israeli target abroad." He said the date to watch for was February 14, the date last year on which senior Hezbollah operative Imad Mughniyeh was assassinated.

I didn't blog this report when it came out but a US army study concluded that Hezbollah is the very model of an effective post-conventional fighting force. And Nasrallah is painting himself into a corner: the more vociferously he demands Arab action against Israel the more striking it becomes that Hezbollah is sitting on the sidelines. If he keeps up his strutting Hezbollah will have to launch at least some token rockets. The domestic cost shouldn't be a factor: they're already functionally in control of Lebanon and, according to the logic of US foreign policy sophisticates, any Israeli retaliation would only help them. So why haven't they attacked? The x-factor is how much Iran wants to keep them in reserve as a deterrent against an IAF attack on Natanz. By all indications: a lot.

The Israelis, meanwhile, might have their own reasons for wanting to take shots at Hezbollah - and not all of them are military. Any conflict between the two would nonetheless leave northern Israel and most of Lebanon devastated. Which is one of many, many reasons why the Lebanese government is trying to prevent Hezbollah from heating up the border. Lebanese officials say their efforts are working. But Barack also said that Israel wouldn't retaliate against Hamas - right up until Israel retaliated Hamas.

So we're back where we started: they're a bunch of genocidal fanatics and anything is possible.

References and previously after the jump...

Continue reading "Friends Of Likud Conference Call - Gen. Moshe Ya'alon On Whether Hezbollah Will Open Up A Second Front" »

Hamas Savages Publicly Mock Shalit Again

Savages

The rhetorical equivalent of the barbarians who used to torture and desecrate POWs in front of opposing armies on the battlefield. Savages:

"Israel has found that it cannot eliminate the resistance," added Hamdan. "Israel cannot stop the rocket fire, even after 10 days of aerial assaults, navy fire and attacks on the ground - the rocket fire has not stopped. On the contrary, the resistance is now targeting strategic places in Israel." Hamas military wing spokesman Abu Obaida reiterated the threats: "We tell the Israelis... Gilad Shalit misses you and we promised to get some soldiers to keep him company." Hamas, he added, will increase its use of long-range fire. "We promise 11,000 prisoners that the Israeli incursion will be the dawn of a new day that will bring about their release, after we capture more Israeli soldiers.

Nothing you wouldn't expect given that they did the same thing in front of 150,000 adoring Gazans - 10% of the Gaza Strip's population - on the eve of Operation Cold Lead. It's doubtful that Shalit is in Gaza any more - they probably smuggled him out through a tunnel months ago and are pretending they don't know where he is - and certainly the Israeli government doesn't want to get anybody's hopes up. Nonetheless his release will apparently remain a ceasefire condition as long as Israel keeps winning.

References:
* Hamas: You cannot stop the fire [YNet]
* Hamas Mocks Shalit During Gigantic Rally: "I Miss My Mom And Dad" [MR]
* Where is Gilad Shalit? [JTA]
* U.S. Initiative To Impose Ceasefire On Hamas [RTTNews]

Previously:
* I Wish I Had An LA Times Subscription, So I Could Cancel It
* Hezbollah And Hamas Escalate Kidnapping Rhetoric, Attempts
* Hamas: One Israeli Boy Is Worth 450 Palestinians

America's Voices Conference Call - Operation Cast Lead

Operation Cast Lead

A nice follow-up to my earlier post about Israel's new high-tech public diplomacy push. I just got off a bloggers' conference call organized by America's Voices. The speakers included the Deputy Chief of Mission from Israel's DC Embassy and Brigadier General (Res.) Relik Shafir from the IAF. They were both exceptionally good - straightforward answers, new information, an overall ethos of confidence, etc.

I do have a small concern that's the seed of a bigger concern though. These calls inevitably start out a little slow. Often that's because speakers assume they're speaking to a general audience as opposed to a bunch of news junkies. It's a little off-putting when this happens because it's a pity to waste time that could be spent on questions. Example: the very first thing mentioned was Israel's new public diplomacy push and how there are now videos on YouTube. First, we know, and second, blog pace has already made that outdated. The minute and a half recitation about how Israel tries to avoid collateral damage and has sent almost 200 trucks of humanitarian aid into Gaza? On it. The talking points about Hamas's intentionally created humanitarian crisis or about Iran's involvement and about how Egypt is blaming Hamas. Yes and yes and yes. But still - safely assumed to be background knowledge.

But I'm actually more worried that it reflects a deeper message-level problem. It could be that Israeli spokespeople are spending time on context and background with bloggers because they think they lose media wars when "the truth" doesn't "get posted." That's not the problem. Now that Israel is investing heavily in public diplomacy, the mistake to be avoided is the one that assumes that the blogosphere is this flat space where what's true naturally bubbles to the surface. That's never true even in general - it's the mistake that pro-Israel campus advocates make when they try reason people out of ideologies they haven't been reasoned into. But even if you could persuade people that way you couldn't do it on the blogosphere. There are infrastructure issues, networking issues, preexisting links - plus these tools to contend with. Now it could be that all of these problems are symptoms of deeper issues involving the role of new communications technologies in public deliberation. And it could even be that reason and argument just doesn't do much persuasive work in an era of low-information voting insulated by myopic self-esteem. But in any case - less time in general reminding pro-Israel bloggers that Israel unilaterally left the Gaza Strip and was rewarded with rockets.

But nonetheless - and genuinely - very helpful. Here's some stuff you're interested in:

(1) Dismantling Hamas - General Shafir was unequivocal that no target ever gets hit if there is a significant risk of collateral damage. The IAF is apparently circling jets and drones over the apartment buildings where Hamas has stored weapons. They don't level the buildings until they get visual confirmation that the residents have left in response to Israeli warnings about impending attacks - which of course Hamas sometimes exploits to move the weapons. Since human shields are the limiting factor right now I'm assuming that means that Israel will start seeing diminishing returns from IAF sorties. Although they certainly seem to be keeping busy right now.

(2) Artificially imposed deadlines - Given the last 12 hours I think there are good reasons to worry but the embassy rep was very confident that Israel is making its case to the right people in the right capitals.

(3) Evaluating Hezbollah - The consensus seem to be that they won't attack lest the IAF flatten southern Lebanon. There were several mentions about the noticeable lack of activity in the south. Hmm.

References and previously after the jump...

Continue reading "America's Voices Conference Call - Operation Cast Lead" »

Several Good Reasons Why Hezbollah Either Will Or Won't Attack

Hezbollah

A few reasons why Hezbollah will probably attack Israel:

(1) They say they're going to.

(2) IDF intelligence is taking the risk seriously enough that they're already doing overflights to try to deter Hezbollah.

(3) They were already ready to start a war last week.

(4) There's only so long that Hezbollah can have Al Jazeera painting them as the heroes of the Palestinian cause without doing something about it. Hezbollah is a terrorist organization, albeit one with an well-trained army: a lot of what they accomplish is through image management and propaganda. A few more days of painting themselves into a corner and Nasrallah won't have any alternative.

(5) Iran has a significant stake in making sure that Hamas doesn't get dismantled. They control Hezbollah and might try to double down.

And now a few reasons why Hezbollah will probably stay on the sidelines:

(1) They say they're going to.

(2) Israel had already publicly changed its doctrine concerning target selection in Lebanon, officially putting all Lebanese infrastructure on the table. Nobody really paid attention because it was the post-Lebanon II IDF and everybody thought it was bluster. But given the intelligence coup that Operation Cast Lead appears to be built on: Hezbollah has to wonder just how much Israel knows about their military infrastructure and to what degree the IAF would be able to untangle it from Hezbollah's human shields.

(3) The Lebanese army - such as it is - isn't sure whether Israel's serious about all of Lebanon being in play. But they're not taking any chances: they're preventing protests from getting out of control and are monitoring the border for Hezbollah activity.

(4) Hezbollah and Syria have every incentive to wait for an Obama administration before heating up the border. In the meantime Nasrallah can whip up public support by scapegoating counties like Egypt for selling out Hamas.

(5) Iran has to calculate that Hezbollah involvement puts Iran's diplomatic position at risk, if only because they'll be forced to again stake their reputation on Hezbollah's success. They have their own a huge incentive to wait a couple of months.

So yeah - I dunno. It's the Middle East and we're talking about pathologically anti-Semitic genocidal lunatics. Tough to make predictions.

References and previously after the jump...

Continue reading "Several Good Reasons Why Hezbollah Either Will Or Won't Attack" »

So... When Does Hezbollah Get Involved? (Plus: Why Egypt Will Stay Out) (UPDATE: Or Not)

Involved

Last time - after Shalit was kidnapped and Israel turned to Gaza - it took Hezbollah less than two weeks to start a war. And if UNIFIL reports are true then they were within hours of starting another one just a few days ago:

The Lebanese army on Thursday discovered and defused eight Katyusha rockets that had been placed near the southern town of Nakoura and were about to be fired at Israel. The 107-millimeter projectiles were fitted with timers and were defused "a short while before the time set for their launching," according to the Lebanese news site Naharnet. Voice of Lebanon radio specified that the rockets were set to be launched between 10 and 10:30 p.m.

Hezbollah is bristling with missiles - Jimmy Carter's touching concerns otherwise notwithstanding - and over the last few weeks Nasrallah has been making a huge show of supporting Hamas. It's gotten to where it might be an embarrassment for him if Israel systematically dismantles their infrastructure. And even if Hezbollah's rank and file would rather sit this one out it's not clear that they'll be allowed to. Iran has significant operational control over both Hamas and Hezbollah so it's not too much to assume that there's some coordination going on. But the IDF has made it very clear that - now that Hezbollah is in formal control of Lebanon - they won't be as restrained as they were during Lebanon II. How much that matters or not to Nasrallah and how seriously he takes the threat - not much and unknown - will determine a lot of Hezbollah's behavior.

At Hot Air Ed is wondering if Hamas isn't actually banking on a full-scale regional war:

Hamas made it clear last week that they wanted war. They announced the end of the so-called truce, although as the 16th paragraph in this report finally makes clear, Hamas and other affiliated groups had never stopped attacking Israel. They want to provoke a wider war and hope to get Egypt involved. The Egyptians opened the border to provide emergency medical care to the wounded and condemned the attack, but have not broken diplomatic relations with Israel yet over the attack.

Hamas has certainly been calling for Arab countries to retaliate but I doubt they seriously think the Egyptians will come to their rescue. It's true that Egypt half-heartedly tried to warn Livni off an invasion - eliciting my favorite diplomatic moment in a long time - but they've been at odds with Hamas for a while. Last April Hamas got caught conspiring with the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood to blow up the Gaza-Egypt border - not a way into the Egyptian regime's affections in the first place and certainly not when done in the context of trying to establish an Islamist state on Egypt's border. Besides, Egypt knows where to place the blame for instability in the Palestinian territories and beyond:

Continue reading "So... When Does Hezbollah Get Involved? (Plus: Why Egypt Will Stay Out) (UPDATE: Or Not)" »

Russia Running Out Of Israeli Enemies That They Haven't Provided With Cutting-Edge Military Tech

Cutting

Russia is gifting fighter jets to Hezbollah-controlled Lebanon. It's no worse than what they're selling to Iran or Egypt and it's not all that different from what the US is giving to Lebanon. So why not, right? And at least Israel is showing its displeasure by selling cutting-edge UAV's to Russia - which Russia will promptly take apart, reverse engineer, and explain to Syria and Iran:

Also on the Russian front, recent reports suggest that Israel may be in the process of selling Hermes 450 UAVs to Moscow. (As you might recall, a Russian MIG 29 was said to have shot down one of these Israeli-made drones during the invasion of Georgia this past August). According to the Lebanese daily An Nahar, the Israelis aren’t pleased about the potential MIG 29 deal, but the UAV sale appears unrelated to this development. More likely, the Israelis are hoping the UAV sales provide some leverage in helping to convince the Russians to not sell advanced SA-20 anti-aircraft weapons to Iran.

Israel is mincing no words about these sales, describing them as an existential threat. So some people are suggesting that the UAV sales are a bribe. Because those Russians - once they're bought they stay bought. Which isn't true. But wouldn't it be great if it was?

I'd ask how the Russians feel about the whole thing but they're no longer allowed to have an opinion.

References:
* Russia to supply Lebanon with 10 MiG-29 fighter jets [Ha'aretz]
* Great News: Russia To Sell Cutting Edge Anti-Aircraft Missiles To Iran (Plus: Iranian Navy Doubles Down) [MR]
* Great News: Egypt Modernizing Its Army With Cutting-Edge Military Tech [MR]
* Pentagon And Iran Competing To See Who Can Supply Hezbollah With More Tanks [MR]
* Gifts from Iran and Russia to Lebanon? [CT Blog]
* Report: Envoy says Russian arms sales can help Iran destroy Israel [Ha'aretz]
* Russia to make dissent treason [Hot Air]

Previously:
* Kasparov Beaten By Kremlin Police (Plus: Rice Trying To Make Up For Russia Failures By Endangering Israel)
* Russia To Give Iran 85 Tons Of Enriched Uranium
* Detente In Our Time - Russia Moves Missiles To NATO's Border, Obama And EU Prepare To Cave

Israeli Politics Roundup - 2008-12-10 - Political Morons Who Ushered In Lebanon II Kadima Government Make Major Gains In Likud Primaries

Rounded Up

I'm really starting to hate elections. Celebration time on the right side of the JBlogosphere and as usual I'm the odd one out:

"It was a blow for Bibi [Netanyahu] because many of those elected were people he successfully got rid of in the last election," said one analyst who asked not to be named because of his close ties to the Likud Party... Eyal Arad, a Kadima strategist... said the so-called rebels of the Likud, those who forced former Prime Minister Ariel Sharon to leave Likud and form the centrist Kadima Party, "have now become Likud."... Nearly all of the top 40 vote getters vocally opposed Israel’s disengagement from Gaza in 2005.

Right or wrong about disengagement it was pretty obvious at the time that these tools were exiling the Israeli right to the political wilderness. Obvious down to the last detail. MR, Aug. 5, 2008:

Bringing down the Sharon government would result in one of three scenarios: Scenario 1 - a Labor government: Prime Minister Sharon runs in the Likud primaries and gets dismantled... Labor gets more votes than Likud but has to be anchored by parties to the left... Israel is led by a center-Left led government propped up by the far Left... Scenario 2 - a non-Likud Sharon government: Sharon forms a centrist third party and takes 30% his die-hard Likud supporters with him... Israel is led either by a fully centrist government or a Labor government anchored by Sharon's centrist party... the current government - in which rightists at least firmly control the Knesset - is the best electoral option that [rightists] have.

It's not like it took a genius to see how that was going to play out. But the Likud rebels forced Sharon's hand anyway. The result: new elections and the Lebanon II government. Now those same rebels are the public face of the Likud and are set to undermine the possibility of a stable center-right coalition. Because that went so well last time. I'm agnostic on the question of whether Feiglin and his band of rebels are "fanatics" (although cutting off clean water - really?) But it's absurd to treat this group as some kind of electoral juggernaut when they're so manifestly bad at electoral politics.

A more detailed explanation of why the right's cheering might be a touch over exuberant, after the jump...

Continue reading "Israeli Politics Roundup - 2008-12-10 - Political Morons Who Ushered In Lebanon II Kadima Government Make Major Gains In Likud Primaries" »

Hezbollah Notifies Carter: Actually You're Kind Of A Pathetic Tool

Tool

Ingrates. And after all he did to create benefactors for them in Tehran, absurd Reuters and Guardian propaganda aside:

Leaders of the Lebanese Shi'ite Muslim group Hezbollah have turned down a request to meet former U.S. President Jimmy Carter during a visit to Lebanon that began on Tuesday, a Carter spokesman said. Carter had requested a meeting with the Iran-backed political and military movement, which is listed as a terrorist group by Washington, as part of a visit to assess whether his Carter Center will monitor a legislative election next year. "I understand that some of the leaders of Hezbollah have said they were not going to meet with any president or former presidents of the United States," Carter said upon his arrival at Beirut airport.

I wonder if he was going to ask them about their Hitler Youth-style training camps. You're thinking no?

These are anti-Semitic genocidal lunatics who were nonetheless still willing to meet with Norm Finkelstein - who is, remember, technically Jewish. And even they think Carter's too much of a tool to waste time on. But the good news is that he's got another book coming out about the Israeli-Arab conflict. You can be confident that it'll be filled with nothing but objective and level-headed analysis.

References:
* Ex-President Carter says Hezbollah won't meet him [Reuters]
* Iran's Hezbollah ties, Reuters lies [Yourish]
* Guardian: We're Not Sure that Hezbollah and Iran are Working Together [MR]
* Generation Faithful - Hezbollah Seeks to Marshal the Piety of the Young - Series - NYTimes.com [NYT]
* Hezbollah: We're Going To Commit Genocide To Avenge That Mughniyah Guy Who Never Had Anything To Do With Us [MR]
* U.S. academic Finkelstein meets top Hezbollah official in Lebanon [Ha'aretz]
* Carter's New Book [Snapshots]

Previously:
* Peres Notifies Carter: Actually You're Kind Of A Vicious Tool
* Carter "Understands" Why Hamas Has To Bomb Israeli Schools And Hospitals
* Carter: Gosh, That Guy That I Helped Put In Charge Of Zimbabwe Sure Is Screwing Things Up

Hezbollah: Of Course Jihadists Were Responsible For Mumbai Massacre

Responsible

The Mumbai terrorists murdered the pregnant Rivkah Holtzberg and may or may not have tortured her. They severely beat her 2 year old toddler Moshe and left him for dead. Even Hezbollah is kind of weirded out by the whole thing:

Lebanon-based Hezbollah has blamed the Mumbai terror attack on the Sunni fundamentalist group Takfiris. In a statement which can raise eyebrows because of Hezbollah's unrelenting hostility to Israel, the Hezbollah said that the group which carried out the Mumbai strikes was of Takfiri ideological lineage. Takfiris are ultra-fundamentalist Sunnis who view the non-Muslim world as a battleground and all non-Muslims as infidels. The statement issued by Sayyid Nawwaf al-Musawi, the international relations head of Hezbollah, is significant because it comes at a time when huge sections in Pakistan continue to deny any link of the notorious Sunni fundamentalist Lashkar to Mumbai attack, and have even blamed the crime on a wider conspiracy involving Hindus, Americans and Israelis.

Which means that Hezbollah's international relations head is more straightforward than the Washington Post. To say nothing of their pathologically anti-Semitic conspiracy-mongering benefactor in Tehran.

But seriously - can pathological conspiracy mongers please figure this out? Was it Hindus like LeT says or Israelis like international leftist activists say? Or maybe it was Israelis and Hindus working together as per the Muslim Brotherhood.

And if it was Sunni terrorists, am I supposed to blame US policy like Daily Kos advises or Indian policy like foreign policy experts insist or the Jewish victims themselves like the British press is trying to do?

I need to know who to blame that's not the fanatical Muslim terrorists and the radical Muslim imams who urged them to do it. It's finals week and I've got shit to do. Get on top of this.

References and previously after the jump...

Continue reading "Hezbollah: Of Course Jihadists Were Responsible For Mumbai Massacre" »

Hey Gals, Check This Out - If You're In Lebanon You Have To Ignore Sexist Muslim Atrocities And Hysterically Call For Anti-Jewish Genocide Instead

Atrocity

"Have to ignore..." is probably too strong. "Get to ignore" is probably more accurate:

The women's organization of the Lebanese Hizbullah terror group held a "protest march" along the Lebanese border with Israel Monday, according to Hizbullah news media quoted by The Blue Eye. The women began their march at Kafr Kileh in southern Lebanon and reached the border passage between Israel and Lebanon, which is named the Fatma Gate. There the Hizbullah women began shouting "death to Israel" and to hurl epithets at leaders of the Arab and Western world for allowing the Israeli "siege" of Gaza.

They didn't hurl epithets at Arab and Muslim leaders because 16 year old Jordanian girls are being strangled for visiting female friends. Or because girls' schools in Saudi Arabia and Pakistan are regularly destroyed. Or because women are being set on fire for doing academic work in Afghanistan. Or because elderly men are allowed to legally rape 14 year old girls in Turkey and 12 year old girls in Saudi Arabia. Or because Afghani schoolgirls are getting acid thrown on their faces. Or because ritualized gang rape is a way of life in Afghanistan.

Instead they screamed hysterically about Israel. Because those Israelis with their female political leaders and female business leaders - inexcusable.

References:
* Hizbullah Women March on Border, Yell 'Death to Israel' [A7]
* Girl strangled slowly for family's honour [Daily Telegraph]
* The value of Saudi girls [Elder of Ziyon]
* Pakistan: "Unknown miscreants" destroy girls' school [Jihad Watch]
* Taliban Set Woman on Fire for Crime of Social Science Research [Jawa]
* Child-Sex Case Grips Turkey Amid Religious Young-Brides Split [Bloomberg]
* Saudi marries off 12-year old over mother's objections [Elder of Ziyon]
* Two schoolgirls blinded in acid attack in Afghanistan [CNN]
* After being gang raped by her village elders, Mukhtar fought back... [Telegraph]
* Feminist Magazine MS To Powerful Israeli Women: Sorry, You're Too Jewish To Be In Our Magazine [MR]
* Hey Gals, Check This Out - Israeli Biotech Industry Skyrockets As Women CEOs Lead the Way [Video] [MR]


Previously:
* Hey Gals, Check This Out - Feminists Are Defacing Marine Offices In Your Name (Plus: Tiny Reform Of Pakistani Rape Law Causes Major Rioting) [Video]
* Feminism in the Muslim World
* Feminist Magazine MS To Powerful Israeli Women: Sorry, You're Too Jewish To Be In Our Magazine [MR]

Pentagon And Iran Competing To See Who Can Supply Hezbollah With More Tanks

Tanked

Remember that time in October 2007 when the Pentagon wanted to give Lebanon cutting edge military tech even though it was obvious that Hezbollah would eventually take over the government and grab the weapons? And then Hezbollah took over the government but the Pentagon still wanted to provide the security assistance? Guess how that's a going to end up:

Israel is concerned with reports that the US plans to sell dozens of M60 main battle tanks to the Lebanese army, senior defense officials said over the weekend. "There is a possibility these tanks will fall into Hizbullah's hands," one official warned. "At the moment, Hizbullah does not yet have heavy armor in its arsenal." On Friday, the An-Nahar daily reported the US was planning to deliver dozens of M60 tanks to Lebanon in several batches starting early next year... The M60 tank is an all-purpose tank made in the US with advanced firepower and mobility. Though superseded by the M1 Abrams, the M60 series remains in service throughout the world. Egypt has the most, with 1,700, Turkey is second with more than 900 and Israel is third with over 700.

So certain is it that Lebanese weapons will fall into Hezbollah's hands that Iran is pursing the exact same policy as the Pentagon:

Lebanese President Michel Suleiman starts a two-day trip to the Islamic republic on Monday on what Iranian officials are calling "a historic visit" meant to accelerate economic, cultural and political cooperation between the countries. Teheran is expected to offer Lebanon military assistance for its army during the visit, according to the pan-Arab daily Al-Hayat, which quoted unnamed sources on Sunday."Suleiman's visit to Teheran and the willingness of the latter to provide Lebanon with 'heavy weapons' and possibly rockets, is within the context of a growing number of countries that have offered to contribute in the arming of the Lebanese Army," according to the report.

Hezbollah is already three times stronger than at the end of Lebanon II - a real surprise because the State Department made sure to task the UN with preventing that. The only question at this point is whether Hezbollah will test this new influx of qualitatively better weapons on Lebanese political opponents - again - before turning them against Israel.

References:
* Pentagon Gets Brilliant Idea: Let's Give Lebanon Cutting-Edge Military Tech, Training [MR]
* Iran Takes Over Hezbollah After Hezbollah Takes Over Lebanon (Plus: State Department Naturally Urging Israel To Cede More Land... To Hezbollah) [MR]
* Great News: US Providing Even More Weapons To Lebanese Military [MR]
* Jerusalem worried US will sell tanks to Lebanon [JPost]
* Report: Iran to propose military aid to Lebanon [JPost]
* Barak: Hizbullah 3 times stronger than at end of war [YNet]
* Confirmed: Rice Went Out Of Her Way To Screw Israel On Lebanon II [MR]
* The Lesson of Lebanon [Noah Pollak / Contentions]

Previously:
* Hezbollah Recruiting Thousands Of New Soldiers Thanks To US Diplomatic Failures, Lebanese Electoral Crisis (Plus: State Department Wants To Repeat Same Plan In West Bank And Wants Your Feedback)
* Smug Condescending Sophisticates Admit They've Been Lying Through Their Teeth About Israeli Security I - UN Admits Hezbollah Is Rearming
* Hezbollah: Yeah, We're Definitely Going To Start Another War

Obama's Top NSA And CIA Picks: Harsh On Israel, Sympathetic To Iran And Hezbollah

Picking

Well that was totally unpredictable wasn't it?

General James L. Jones is widely rumored to be Obama's preferred candidate to be White House National Security Adviser... Jones prepared a report on Israel's policies in the territories... The World Tribune said it "blasted Israel's role" for "hampering the movement of PA forces, blocking plans for weapons shipments and technology to the Palestinians and resisting coordination." ... Obama said this about Jones: "Let me tell you who I associate with... If I'm interested in figuring out my foreign policy, I associate myself with my running mate, Joe Biden or with Dick Lugar...or General Jim Jones, the former supreme allied commander of NATO."

Totally, totally unpredictable:

John Brennan... is rumored to be Obama's pick to head the CIA. Brennan published a long article on Iran in July 2008... "... U.S. national security would be best served if Washington publicly acknowledged and explored the roots of this shift in Iranian state support for terrorist activities ... the new U.S. administration must be willing to exercise strategic patience....It would not be foolhardy, however, for the United States to tolerate, and even to encourage, greater assimilation of Hezbollah into Lebanon's political system.

The US should exercise "strategic patience" with Iran - who as of today has four navy bases in the Gulf, is building up its conventional arsenal, and is at most two years away from a nuke - plus support Hezbollah's takeover of the Lebanese government. All because Iran is becoming more moderate. This is definitely a guy with his finger on the pulse of geopolitical dynamics.

Now a little background on Jones's current posting: he was sent to the Middle Eats last year at Rice's behest to pressure Israel into making concessions. Israel has made some of those concessions even though State's trusted Palestinian moderates are still threatening to launch wars. Not enough for Jones: he's currently at work creating a paper trail that blames Israel for Middle East violence and outlines a vision of a Palestinian state:

Continue reading "Obama's Top NSA And CIA Picks: Harsh On Israel, Sympathetic To Iran And Hezbollah" »

Hezbollah Supporters Pretty Psyched That Their Guy Won

Flagwaving

This isn't really news - no more than Iran's endorsement or Hamas's endorsement were news - but I'm going to need this article when Obama gets around to disastrously engaging Hezbollah like he's repeatedly promised to do. I'll want to write something like "well it's only fair since they were kind enough to throw their weight behind him" and I'll need to make sure the story hasn't disappeared:

Thumbs up for Obama in Lebanon's Hezbollah bastions. Like other Lebanese-Americans in the Hezbollah bastion of Bint Jbeil, Hussein al-Sayyed speaks fondly of the American way of life and says he plans to cast his vote for Barack Obama.... "I'll vote for Obama, that's for sure," Sayyed, a Shiite 48-year-old restaurant owner and fan of the late Iranian leader Ayatollah Khomeini, told a news agency ahead of Tuesday's US presidential election. Outgoing US President George W Bush is much resented in Bint Jbeil, where many residents believe that his Republican administration provided Israel with the laser-guided bombs that destroyed much of their town in the 2006 war. Although many agree with Khomeini's description of the United States as the "Great Satan," they also admire America and are grateful for the good life it has given them.

The Iranian-supplied weapons that Hezbollah used to actually start the 2006 war, however, don't seem to cause these residents much consternation. Almost as if there was something other than level-headed deliberation guiding their political allegiances.

References:
* Speaker Of Iranian Parliament: Of Course We Want Obama To Win [MR]
* Summer Camp Funtime For Palestinian Kids - Getting Brainwashed, Learning How To Launch Qassams (Plus: New Anti-Rocket Lasers) [MR]
* Thumbs up for Obama in Lebanon's Hezbollah bastions [AFP]
* Hezbollah: Actually, Israel Is Our Land Too [MR]
* 70 Percent Of American Jews Ready To Say "We Didn't Know" When Obama Detonates US-Israel Alliance (Plus: They Most Definitely Know) [MR]

Previously:
* Biden's Delusions Of Genius And Relevance Getting Obnoxious (Plus: Liberal Foreign Policy Experts Also Just Don't Know Stuff)
* Financial Times: Hey, Hezbollah Kind Of Rocks Don't They?
* Mere Rhetoric: Search Results

Hezbollah: Actually, Israel Is Our Land Too

Time

Israel withdrew from Lebanon in 2000. The withdrawal was certified by United Nations and the State Department, both of which unequivocally stated that Israel was no longer occupying even an inch of Lebanese territory. So what's a genocidal Shiite fanatic waging a divinely mandated jihad on the thinnest territorial claim to do? Hezbollah had Syria declare that that Har Dov aka the Sheba Farms - land Israel took from Syria in 1967 - was actually Lebanese land. Done and done.

Naturally the UN and the State Department openly ridiculed and mocked this claim since it's pretty obviously a pretext to keep killing Jews. But the thing about being a genocidal lunatic in a world of appeasers is that if you wait long enough and threaten loud enough someone will eventually try to appease you. So Hezbollah just unblinkingly insisted year after year that they were out to "liberate" this newly-discovered Lebanese territory, and that's why they were fighting Israel.

And just like clockwork, the UN and the State Department started pressuring Israel to leave Har Dov. The exact same trick is now being pulled about the border village of Ghajar, which the UN and State Department - based on Hezbollah's input - have suddenly discovered is Lebanese territory that Israel should give up.

Because honestly - how could appeasing genocidal lunatics possibly go wrong?

A senior Hezbollah official on Monday said the Lebanese militant organization believes that large swaths of northern Israel belong to Lebanon, far beyond the line Israel pulled back to in 2000. "The Zionist terror organizations moved the border from that of 1920 to that of 1923, and Lebanon lost seven villages and twenty farms. One must be cautious before moving the border to the Blue Line, because then Lebanon will lose millions of square meters," said Nawaf Musawi, head of international relations for Hezbollah... Musawi, who is known as the group's "foreign minister," made the comments at the close of a meeting with the Norwegian ambassador to Lebanon... The official's comments mean that Hezbollah has territorial demands beyond the disputed Shaba Farms in the Golan Heights and the divided northern village of Ghajar. While various Lebanese Shi'ite figures have made these demands in the past, Hezbollah has abstained from doing so in recent years.

Yeah of course he said it in an official meeting with a foreign ambassador. That's where people always threaten to start unprovoked wars, right. And of course these villages only became Lebanese territory once Israel started talking about withdrawing from Har Dov and Ghajar. Any earlier would have spoiled the nudge-wink "we're fighting Israel over territory" charade.

References:
* In Just Seven Short Paragraphs, Jimmy Carter Tells 2 Lies, Makes 2 Incoherent Arguments, Takes an Anti-Israel Stance that the State Department Mocks, and Just Generally Annoys the Hell Out of Us [MR]
* The UN Makes It Official: There Is Absolutely No Agreement That Won't Be Changed If Israel's Genocidal Enemies Refuse To Accept For Long Enough [MR]
* State Department Ready To Pull Entirely Predictable Anti-Israel Bait And Switch On Har Dov [MR]
* 'Israel backs withdrawing from Ghajar' [JPost]
* Hezbollah: Large swaths of north Israel belong to Lebanon [Ha'aretz]

Previously:
* Arab And Muslim Countries Reject French Book Fair Because It's Just Too Jewish
* Hezbollah: We're Going To Commit Genocide To Avenge That Mughniyah Guy Who Never Had Anything To Do With Us
* UNIFIL Soldiers Catch Hezbollah Moving Weapons, Get Shooed Away

New EU Court Rulings Mean That Obama's "Strong Carrots, Strong Sticks" Iran Strategy Now Only Carrots

Promising

Just a quick reminder: Iran is recruiting suicide bombers for a global jihad against the US and they're using Lebanese territory that the State Dept helped secure for Hezbollah to do it. Even assuming that Obama's talks with them fail before they get nukes - which was already unlikely even before their secret reprocessing program came to light - the "strong sticks" that he wants to impose in the form of sanctions are already maxed out and doomed to collapse since they target individuals:

The global blacklisting system for financiers of al-Qaeda and other terrorist groups is at risk of collapse, undermined by legal challenges and waning political support in many countries, according to counterterrorism officials in Europe and the United States. In September, the European Court of Justice threw the future of the United Nations' sanctions program against al-Qaeda and the Taliban into doubt when it declared the blacklist violated the "fundamental rights" of those targeted. The Luxembourg-based court said the list lacked accountability and made it almost impossible for people to challenge their inclusion.

That's if he can even get Iran to the negotiating table, which is iffy at best and will almost certainly require selling out Israel. Other than that, I'm pretty psyched about Obama's foreign policy.

References and previously after the jump...

Continue reading "New EU Court Rulings Mean That Obama's "Strong Carrots, Strong Sticks" Iran Strategy Now Only Carrots" »

US Weapons Aid To Lebanon Unaffected By Hezbollah Takeover Of Lebanon

Do Not Want

I always get screwed up trying to line up the news cycle across time zones, but I'm pretty sure that State's asinine plan to arm Lebanon's army to the teeth was announced almost two full days before Nasrallah met with Hariri and symbolically affirmed Hezbollah's control over Lebanon:

Hizbullah chief Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah and Sunni leader Saad Hariri met for the first time in over two years, according to Hizbullah's al-Manar television station. A statement issued by both parties after the Sunday night meeting stated that "there was an affirmation of national unity and civil peace and the need to take all measures to prevent tension ... and to reinforce dialogue and to avoid strife regardless of political differences." The mutual statement described the meeting, part of which was aired on the Hizbullah TV station, as "honest and open, and added that the two men would be "in mutual contact."

It could've been only a day afterward, although that just kind of seems rude. And here I was really counting on the much-vaunted "marring" of Hezbollah's reputation in the Sunni community. Ditto for March 14's promise of bitter resistance to Hezbollah dominance. I guess a bunch of Iranian and Syrian-supplied weapons smuggled under the nose of a supine UN outweighs "marring," huh?

Speaking of which, Iran just announced - again - that of course they fund Sunni and Shiite terrorists throughout the Middle East. This is obviously a surprise to noone except Obama.

References:
* Great News: US Providing Even More Weapons To Lebanese Military [MR]
* Nasrallah meets Hariri after two years [JPost]
* 'Military occupation´ mars Hezbollah reputation [Wash Times]
* Lebanese politician warns of civil war [JPost]
* Iran: Of Course Sunnis And Shiites Cooperate, Iran Will Never Abandon Hamas [MR]
* Iran: We arm Middle Eastern 'liberation armies' [JPost]
* Obama Debate Strutting: Hey, Turns Out Iran Is Funding Sunni Terrorists [MR]

Previously:
* State Department Ready To Pull Entirely Predictable Anti-Israel Bait And Switch On Har Dov
* Syria Following Iranian Model, Building Multiple Redundant Nuclear Facilities
* Lebanon: In Addition To Stealing Our Land, Israel Is Also Stealing Our Hummus And Falafel

Great News: US Providing Even More Weapons To Lebanese Military

Backed

About a year ago the Pentagon was like "let's give a ton of weapons to Lebanon" and I was like "but it's about to be taken over by Hezbollah. And then a few months later it was taken over by Hezbollah. But the thing about our foreign policy experts - very trustworthy. Once they've chosen an idiotic policy, for instance, they can be trusted to stick with it:

Meanwhile, the New York Times reported Saturday that the United States is providing light arms and brand new equipment to the Lebanese army in line with its policy of supporting the Western-backed Beirut government. Officials in the Pentagon and State Department are weighing a Lebanese request for far more substantial weaponry, including tanks, anti-tank missiles and an air defense system to deter Israeli air force sorties in Lebanese airspace, though significant arms sales require that Congress be officially notified, the Times reported.

The thing about Lebanon, though, is that we don't really have to wait for a full Hezbollah takeover to see US weapons getting turned against Israel - the "Western-backed Beirut government" does that all on its own. It's just that the fuckup is going to be that much more elegant when Hezbollah formally seizes power.

The article also explains that UNIFIL is letting Hezbollah smuggle weapons and rebuild their army. Which is the kind of thing you'd expect given how UNIFIL soldiers literally get shooed away when they discover Hezbollah arms caches.

I'm personally pretty psyched about the non-aggression pact that Israel is reportedly mulling. Especially since Hezbollah has given up on trying to avenge Mugniyah, even though they're convinced that Israel killed him. That's the kind of thing they can be trusted to forgive and forget. A Hezbollah-controlled Lebanese government with US arms from one direction and Syrian arms from another - definitely a recipe for long-term peace.

References:
* Pentagon Gets Brilliant Idea: Let's Give Lebanon Cutting-Edge Military Tech, Training [MR]
* Iran Takes Over Hezbollah After Hezbollah Takes Over Lebanon (Plus: State Department Naturally Urging Israel To Cede More Land... To Hezbollah) [MR]
* Lebanon Celebrates Infusion Of US Security Assistance By Shooting At IAF Planes [MR]
* Israel mulling non-aggression treaty with Lebanon [Ha'aretz]
* Hezbollah: We have proof Israel killed Mughniyah [Ha'aretz]

Previously:
* UNIFIL Soldiers Catch Hezbollah Moving Weapons, Get Shooed Away
* Biden's Delusions Of Genius And Relevance Getting Obnoxious (Plus: Liberal Foreign Policy Experts Also Just Don't Know Stuff)
* Financial Times: Hey, Hezbollah Kind Of Rocks Don't They?

Turns Out, Released Terrorists Don't Stop Being Terrorists

Fixed

France:

A Paris criminal court convicted nine people on Thursday including a French-Algerian former prison inmate who admitted establishing an Islamic group that called for armed jihad in France... Two French converts to Islam — Stephane Hadoux, 40, and Emmanuel Nieto, 34, — were given three-year sentences, half of which were suspended by the court. Bourada was one of 36 Islamic militants convicted a decade ago for providing support for bombings that terrorized France in 1995. He received a 10-year term, but won early release in 2003 under police surveillance.

Iraq:

I hope our friends at the ACLU rest comfortably tonight, knowing their efforts sprung this maggot so he could go back to doing what he was meant to do: murder innocent people. The blood is on their hands. A Kuwaiti man released from the U.S. prison in Guantanamo Bay in 2005 has carried out a suicide bombing in Iraq, his cousin told Al Arabiya television on Thursday. A friend of Abdullah Saleh al-Ajmi in Iraq informed his family that Abdullah carried out the attack in Mosul, his cousin Salem told the Dubai-based television channel.

Israel:

Continue reading "Turns Out, Released Terrorists Don't Stop Being Terrorists" »

Financial Times: Hey, Hezbollah Kind Of Rocks Don't They?

Rocks

Well what did you expect? Journalism about Hezbollah is a swamp of pro-Hezbollah propaganda. Sometimes journalists mask their bias under a thin veneer of objectivity - my favorite was when they used a footnote from a pro-Hezbollah shill in a study by a pro-Hezbollah shill for an article by a pro-Hezbollah shill. But sometimes they don't bother:

The opposition, suggests Mr Fneish, did Lebanon a favour when it sent militants to the streets of west Beirut to intimidate its pro-western opponents: the May events, after all, precipitated a solution to a two-year stand-off that had paralysed government institutions. "Suppose May had not happened," he says. "There would not have been a solution and the country would be completely divided... True, a national dialogue between Lebanese parties has been launched but it is looking to forge a "national defence strategy" rather than the specific disarming of the group, which world powers had demanded... Hizbollah has much to boast about. As its backers, Syria and Iran, have weathered US pressure in the past few years, it too has confronted the pro-western parliamentary majority which had sought to disarm it.

Well that's a relief. I was worried about Hezbollah's promise to restart a genocidal war against Israel under the umbrella of a newly armed and overly confident Iran. So I guess all those reports of how Hezbollah's takeover provided breathing space - again helpfully transcribed by a credulous international media - were right. Look how well things have worked out:

Though it is Lebanon's most powerful force, its room to manoeuvre in south Lebanon, and its ability to taunt Israel, has been constrained by the presence of thousands of UN troops. As western diplomats point out, not a single shot has been fired on the border since the end of the 2006 war.

Awesome! I mean, it's flat out false. But wouldn't it be totally cool if it was true?

Back in this reality, State's Lebanon strategy - from "balancing" Lebanese and Israeli interests during Lebanon II to giving cutting edge tech to what is now a Hezbollah-controlled government to installing UN peacekeepers in South Lebanon - has been a disaster. Hezbollah proved that they can stop the country at will so the government caved to their demands. The army has stopped fighting them. Even March 14th's leaders have reportedly given up. The only people who still think diplomacy is working are Hezbollah, their media and academic shills, and the people who are going to be running US foreign policy in the coming Obama administration.

References and previously moved behind the jump...

Continue reading "Financial Times: Hey, Hezbollah Kind Of Rocks Don't They?" »

Lebanon: In Addition To Stealing Our Land, Israel Is Also Stealing Our Hummus And Falafel

Stupid

Since international courts tend to be assiduously fair to the Jewish State, I don't think that this will go anywhere:

A Lebanese official says Lebanon is preparing to file an international lawsuit against Israel for claiming ownership of traditional dishes it believes are originally Lebanese. The president of the Lebanese Industrialists' Association, Fadi Abboud, accuses Israel of "stealing" Lebanon's cuisine by marketing dishes such as hummus as its own. He says that while Lebanon is partly to blame because it has never registered its main food trademarks, Israel's adoption of these dishes causes Lebanon to lose millions of dollars in trade. Reports in the Arabic media say Abboud is also concerned about Israel's marketing of not just of hummus but falafel and tabbouleh.

I'm kind of surprised that they're not accusing Israel of "colonizing" their national foodstuffs. That, after all, is the perennial anti-Israel accusation a la mode. Has there ever been an international court that hasn't found Israel guilty of colonizing something?

I'd actually be on board with this if Lebanon would promise to enforce its trademark against Whole Foods and associated co-ops - places where liberals shop to be seen shopping by other liberals. But Lebanon and blue staters are on the same side now, so I'm not holding out much hope.

References:
* Jumbo Shrimp, Dry Rain, Government Organization, Un-politicized International Law [MR]
* Lebanon to sue Israel for marketing hummus as its own [Guardian]
* Palestinian artist accuses Israeli professor of 'colonizing' his ideas [Ha'aretz]
* #48 Whole Foods and Grocery Co-ops [Stuff White People Like]
* Lebanon - Another Country Where Obama Can Make Things Much Worse [MR]

Previously:
* Biden: "We Kicked Hezbollah Out Of Lebanon"
* Take Away Hezbollah's Collaborators, Human Shields, And Useful Idiots. Disband UNIFIL Now.
* Iran Takes Over Hezbollah After Hezbollah Takes Over Lebanon (Plus: State Department Naturally Urging Israel To Cede More Land... To Hezbollah)

Biden's Delusions Of Genius And Relevance Getting Obnoxious (Plus: Liberal Foreign Policy Experts Also Just Don't Know Stuff)

Tools

Turns out that Biden more or less made up his dramatic, monumental, history-altering role in Congress's Bosnia stand:

During last week's debate with his counterpart on the Republican ticket, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, Biden twice gave himself credit for shifting U.S. policy on Bosnia... But, despite the bravado, Biden was not a key player in the legislation that ultimately forced Bill Clinton to lift an arms embargo imposed by the United Nations on Bosnian Muslims fighting the Serbs, according to congressional officials involved in the issue and a review of Biden's speeches and voting record... Biden's foreign policy expertise -- honed over 36 years in the Senate -- is the main reason Obama selected him as his running mate and offers the strongest contrast with Palin.

36 years in the Senate and Biden still doesn't know shit and yet is utterly convinced in his own genius. His 2006 partition plan for Iraq was so stupid that Sunnis and Shiites - who were engaged in a civil war - united to oppose it. His understanding of Al Qaeda's strategy and territorial presence is the opposite of true. He clearly doesn't understand McKiernan's strategy in Afghanistan - not a surprise, since he also doesn't know the difference between brigades and battalions.

In fairness to him, though, he might just be listening to the bevy of liberal foreign policy specialists who have been getting things wrong about the Middle East for the better part of five decades. Click through for more.

Continue reading "Biden's Delusions Of Genius And Relevance Getting Obnoxious (Plus: Liberal Foreign Policy Experts Also Just Don't Know Stuff)" »

He Misspoke: Biden's Obnoxiously Smug Assertion About Hezbollah Was Actually An Aggressively Stupid Policy About Syria (Plus: They Just Don't Know Stuff)

Lecturer

When I did yesterday's post on this genius’s Hezbollah gaffe, I just assumed that he was making it up out of whole cloth. Too generous!

Biden, the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, misspoke when he said "we kicked - along with France, we kicked Hezbollah out of Lebanon." Hezbollah, a radical Shiite Muslim group, is very much alive in Lebanon, part of the government there, and in fact more powerful than it's ever been. Biden may have meant to say Syria, which under intense international pressure withdrew its forces from Lebanon in 2005 after a two-decade-long presence.

Andy McCarthy has five or six reasons why this version is still an egregious abuse of history. My concern is that it's also a train wreck of a policy suggestion - albeit one that an Obama/Biden administration would indeed enthusiastically embrace. Putting European troops in South Lebanon - which of course has already happened under UNIFIL auspices - has been an unmitigated disaster for Israel. When they're not getting overrun by Lebanese children, they're threatening to take potshots at Israeli planes or conveniently losing equipment that ends up being used by Hezbollah to start wars. The rest of the time they're just passive human shields. Hezbollah tolerates them on account of that, on account of how they're utterly ineffectual, and on account of how France and Spain bribed Syria for protection. Which is to say: if Biden actually misspoke then he and Obama are enthusiastically advocating a de facto pro-Syrian and pro-Hezbollah policy. Sophisticated!

Yesterday morning I posted a roundup of various Obama/Biden historical fantasies: Roosevelt gave a speech on TV in 1929, Roosevelt talked to Hitler and Tojo, Hoover didn't try to soak the rich on the eve the Great Depression, Auschwitz was liberated by American troops, etc. I don't think any of those were deliberate lies - in sharp contrast to, say, Biden's nonexistent mom-and-pop diner story from last night's debate.

Continue reading "He Misspoke: Biden's Obnoxiously Smug Assertion About Hezbollah Was Actually An Aggressively Stupid Policy About Syria (Plus: They Just Don't Know Stuff)" »

Biden: "We Kicked Hezbollah Out Of Lebanon"

Here

What the hell?

BIDEN: When we kicked -- along with France, we kicked Hezbollah out of Lebanon, I said and Barack said, "Move NATO forces in there. Fill the vacuum, because if you don't know -- if you don't, Hezbollah will control it." Now what's happened? Hezbollah is a legitimate part of the government in the country immediately to the north of Israel.

No, seriously: what the hell? I have no idea what he's talking about. And even if I did: Obama thinks Syria is the solution to Hezbollah. Which means that Obama has been listening to his anti-Israel advisers a wee bit too much.

UPDATE: I also forgot to mention: (1) NATO has what mandate to go into Lebanon? (2) An international force has been a disaster for Israel. Other than all of this - great answer from the Dem's top foreign policy mind.

References:
* Transcript of Palin, Biden debate [CNN]
* Lebanon - Another Country Where Obama Can Make Things Much Worse [MR]

Previously:
* Biden Now Actively Channeling Rabid Anti-Israel Partisans, Adopting Their Barely-Veiled Anti-Israel Euphemisms
* Guy Who Smeared "Pro-Likud Approach To Israel": "US-Israeli Relationship Transcends Parties"
* New Coulter Column: "If Obama Wanted A Historically Delusional Vice President, Why Not Lyndon LaRouche?"

IAEA Having Minor Problem Investigating Syrian Nuke Facility On Account Of How Somebody Just Murdered Their Contact

Burned

You can see how something like that might delay things. And normally this would be an easy call: he got dead for the same reason that many of the Iraqi WMD experts and terrorists-in-residence were disappeared by the Baathists on the eve of the US invasion. But Suleiman was not a mere scientist or low-level agent - he was deep inside the Assad regime. And covering up a covert nuclear program was nowhere near the naughtiest thing that he was involved in:

The UN atomic watchdog's probe into alleged illicit nuclear work in Syria has been delayed because the agency's contact man in Syria was murdered, IAEA chief Mohamed ElBaradei revealed Thursday. "The reason that Syria has been late in providing additional information (is) that our interlocutor has been assassinated in Syria," ElBaradei told a closed-door session of the International Atomic Energy Agency's 35-member board... But according to Arab media reports last month, a brigadier general thought to be the Syrian regime's liaison with Hezbollah in Lebanon was assassinated. The Saudi-owned pan-Arab daily Al-Hayat said the victim was a senior Syrian officer "in charge of sensitive files and closely linked to the Syrian top brass." Al-Bawaba, an Arab news website, named the officer as Mohammed Sleiman, saying he was "Syria's liaison officer with Lebanon's Hezbollah movement." The Lebanese anti-Syrian daily al-Mustaqbal quoted a Syrian news site as saying Sleiman was the head of security at the presidential palace in Damascus and President Bashar al-Assad's "right-hand man."

The rest of the article is about how the IAEA is condemning Israel because there's no evidence that Syria was using the facility to develop nukes. Which will be news to the North Korean nuclear scientists who had the bad luck to be in the building when Israel destroyed it. It would also beg a lot of other questions about why Syria quickly paved over the site or why professional weapons inspectors have no doubts about what the facility was being used for or why it's now public knowledge that Israeli commandos scoped up radioactive soil samples before the warplanes were called in. And the answer to those questions would be: because the IAEA is grossly incompetent.

Regardless: 10 to 1 and pick em, this guy ended up dead for reasons having very little to do with the nuclear facility and very much to do with how he was at the nexus of one of the most dangerous alliances on the planet.

References:
* Contact man's murder delays Syria nuclear probe: IAEA [AFP]
* Washington Post: Several N. Korean scientists hurt in IAF strike in Syria [Ha'aretz]
* Syria Rebuilds on Site Destroyed by Israeli Bombs [NYT]
* Experience With Syria Exemplifies Challenge That Detection Presents [WaPo]
* 'Commandos nearly exposed Sept. 6 Syria strike' [JPost]

Previously:
* The Totally Awesome Israeli Operation That Blew Up Mugniyah Right Under Assad's Nose
* STRATFOR: Syria Massing Troops On The Golan, Israeli Skittishness May Mean War (Plus: Iran's "Final Response" To Israel On October 12)
* Was Syria Actively Building - Or Storing - A Nuke In The Operation Orchard Facility?

Israeli Military Intel: Iran "Halfway" Toward Nuclear Weapon (Plus: Syria, Hezbollah, And Hamas All The Way Toward Every Other Kind Of Weapon)

Weapons

Happy Monday:

Iran is halfway to a nuclear bomb, and Hizbullah, Hamas and Syria are using this period of relative calm to significantly rearm, Brig.-Gen. Yossi Baidatz, the Military Intelligence's head of research, told the cabinet Sunday during a particularly gloomy briefing on the threats facing the country. Baidatz said there was a growing gap between Iran's progress on the nuclear front and the West's determination to stop it. "Iran is concentrating on uranium enrichment, and is making progress," he said, noting that they have improved the function of their 4,000 centrifuges.

Turns out that the foreign policy experts who made up excuses for ignoring Iran may have erred. They've gone from "they don't want nukes" to "they want nukes but they can't get the tech to work" to "they got the tech to work but the lunatics aren't the ones in control of the country." Who knows what they'll think of next.

The rest of the stuff lines up with reports that Iran just delivered advanced missiles to Hezbollah and that Hamas is acquiring weapons faster than ever. In Lebanon the little darlings - who now control the Lebanese government, enacting what they want and vetoing what they don't - have been building an out-and-out army with out-and-out military bases. They're even supposed to be tracking Israeli aircraft, albeit sometimes with mixed success. And in Gaza, of course, Hamas has its own army and is gearing up for its own war.

State's grand solution is to hope that security and territorial concessions will pry these cretins apart. Now here's Syria saying that they'll never stop supporting Hamas and Hezbollah. And now here's Hamas saying that they'll never stop supporting Syria. And now here's Iran saying that they'll never stop supporting Hamas. And since Iran uses Hamas as a proxy and Hezbollah as a de facto Iranian militia - it doesn't seem like anyone's breaking off ties with anyone else anytime soon.

But maybe they were all just kidding about that.

References and Previously after the jump...

Continue reading "Israeli Military Intel: Iran "Halfway" Toward Nuclear Weapon (Plus: Syria, Hezbollah, And Hamas All The Way Toward Every Other Kind Of Weapon)" »

Iran Takes Over Hezbollah After Hezbollah Takes Over Lebanon (Plus: State Department Naturally Urging Israel To Cede More Land... To Hezbollah)

Campaigning

At least this means that that Syria will break off its cooperation with Hezbollah, since as foreign policy experts tell us Sunnis and Shiites never cooperate:

Iran is consolidating its grip on Hizbullah and has instituted a number of structural changes to the Lebanese group, under which Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah no longer enjoys exclusive command over its military wing, top Israeli defense officials have revealed. According to the officials, following the Second Lebanon War, Iran decided to step up its involvement in the Hizbullah decision-making process and has instituted a number of changes to the terror group's hierarchy, under which Nasrallah has to receive Iranian permission prior to certain operations. "There is real Iranian command now over Hizbullah," a top IDF officer said. "This doesn't mean that Nasrallah is a puppet, but it does mean that whenever he pops his head out of his bunker he sees an Iranian official standing over him."

This comes as Hezbollah is expanding its war against Jews into Venezuela and its war against Israel globally (although their campaign to make Venezuela judenrein is probably just anti-Zionism - so no worries). As for the war in the Middle East, the Hezbollah-controlled Lebanese government wants you to know that they're never going to stop trying to conquer Israel:

While forces within Siniora's western-backed coalition demanded that military action to liberate occupied lands be carried out "under the aegis of the state," now the government guidelines state that Hezbollah has what is essentially an independent right to take action. "Lebanon, its army, its people and its resistance [Hezbollah] have the right to take action to liberate lands that have remained occupied at the Shaba Farms, the hills of Shuba village and the northern portion of the village of Ghajar, with all legitimate means possible, and to resist Israeli aggression."

Remember that time last year when the US gave Lebanon cutting-edge military tech? If only it had been easily foreseeable that the weapons would end up under Hezbollah control. Not that Hezbollah is particularly short on weapons - last April UN peacekeepers found a cache of illegal Hezbollah weapons and promptly ran away. A little afterwards Syria switched from covertly smuggling in weapons to just openly arming Hezbollah. Some of the State Department's other brilliant ideas for solving the Hezbollah crisis, after the jump.

Continue reading "Iran Takes Over Hezbollah After Hezbollah Takes Over Lebanon (Plus: State Department Naturally Urging Israel To Cede More Land... To Hezbollah)" »

State Department Ready To Pull Entirely Predictable Anti-Israel Bait And Switch On Har Dov

Diplomacy

The magical thing about pro-Israel blogging is that its abjectly depressing content is totally unredeemed by even the slightest hint of new or interesting anti-Israel outrages. I take a blissful month away from blogging only to return to this disgusting decade-old proposal and this incredibly predictable screwjob:

Lebanese officials reported of a significant turnaround in the United State's position regarding the Shebaa Farms and said that the Bush administration is now in favor of Israel's withdrawal from the eight square mile disputed area in the Golan Heights in accordance with UN Security Council Resolution 170... Sources in Lebanon were quoted by Al-Hayat as saying that Israel's possible withdrawal from the Shebaa Farms area, which was captured by Israel from Syria during the Six Day War in 1967, was one of the focal points during the recent meetings US President George W. Bush held with German, Italian, British and French leaders while touring Europe.

Incredibly. Predictable. Screwjob:

As part of the Lebanon-II withdrawal, the US promised that it would never pressure Israel to withdraw from Har Dov, the so-called Shebaa Farms region that Israel took from Syria in 1967, based on Hezbollah's absurd claims that it was Lebanese land. At the time we wrote that we'd need that post in the future because the international community routinely pulls this kind of moving the goalposts bait and switch on Israel... Here's Alberto Fernandez (Director of Public Diplomacy in the Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs at the State Department) - a guy whose job it is to win Arab hearts and minds - responding to Arab-Americans trying to get him to endorse Hezbollah's absurd position: "Oh come on, the 'Lebanese Resistance', if I may use that term sarcastically, didn't know the Shebaa Farms was occupied until the Syrians told them so. That is just ridiculous." First the UN walked over every inch of the Lebanese border and certified that Israel had fully withdrawn. Hezbollah simply ignored that decision.

The most basic land-for-peace fantasy is that Arabs murder Israelis because of territorial disputes. Once Israel meets Hezbollah's "legitimate claims" - Obama's lovely phrase - intransigent and genocidal Arab anti-Semitism is supposed to subside. Land-for-peace skeptics - on the other hand - have always claimed that Israel's Arab enemies will just pocket Israel concessions and use them as platforms for even more insane demands.

Israel gambles on some diplomatic agreement or assurance in the context of a land-for-peace swap. Its concessions are met with unblinking hysterical fantasizing and unremitting genocidal hatred. The diplomatic community inevitably insists that Israel give in to just one more insane claim on its territory. It's the same bait and switch over and over again.

References:
* Vicious Child Murderer Samir Kuntar To Be Traded Next Week? [MR]
* Report: US backs Israeli withdrawal from Shebaa Farms [YNet]
* The UN Makes It Official: There Is Absolutely No Agreement That Won't Be Changed If Israel's Genocidal Enemies Refuse To Accept For Long Enough [MR]
* Oh, THOSE Legitimate Claims [Power Line]
* Annapolis As A Rosetta Stone For How Anti-Israel Bait And Switch Diplomacy Works [MR]

Previously:
* Are They Really that Stupid?
* Smug Condescending Sophisticates Admit They've Been Lying Through Their Teeth About Israeli Security I - UN Admits Hezbollah Is Rearming
* One Jerusalem Conference Call: Ambassador Dore Gold On How Current Limited Negotiations Are A Slippery Slope To Losing Jerusalem

Vicious Child Murderer Samir Kuntar To Be Traded Next Week?

Vermin

This rumor goes around once every few weeks. But with Olmert desperate to leave office with any accomplishment - no matter how costly - well, fuck:

Military sources in Lebanon expect Hezbollah next week to return to Israel abducted Israel Defense Forces soldiers Ehud Goldwasser and Eldad Regev as part of an exchange deal, the Lebanese newspaper As-Safir... the deal will take place between June 20-25... no proof has been offered that [Goldwasser and Regev] are alive... the family of jailed Lebanese terrorist Samir Kuntar have begun to prepare for his imminent return to Lebanon. Kuntar's return to Lebanon is considered to constitute one of Israel's commitments in the deal. Kuntar is serving multiple life sentences for killing four Israelis in a 1979 infiltration of an apartment building in northern Israel. Among the victims were a 28-year-old man and his four-year-old daughter, whose head Kuntar repeatedly smashed against a rock before crushing her skull with a rifle butt.

That's an interesting way to phrase what that cretin did:

The terrorists took Danny and Einat down to the beach. There, according to eyewitnesses, one of them shot Danny in front of Einat, so that his death would be the last thing she would ever see. Then, he smashed my little girl’s skull in against a rock with his rifle butt. That terrorist was Samir Kuntar. Just like last time, the deal being proposed also doesn't include Ron Arad, which means that Israel would be effectively giving up hope of ever getting him back.

At least Kuntar hasn't just sworn to immediately go back to killing Israeli toddlers. And at least the AP will have another chance to actively mislead readers about Kuntar's savageness. So everyone's going with what they're good at.

References:
* Report: Hezbollah to return abducted IDF soldiers next week [Ha'aretz]
* Israel Considers Releasing Murderous Animal Filth In Exchange For Kidnapped Israeli Soldiers [MR]
* Terrorist Samir Kuntar Vows to Continue Terrorism if Freed....... [Tundra Tabloids]
* AP misinforms the world [Yourish]

Previously:
* Israeli Government Works To Unite Entire J-Blogosphere In Total Opposition to Israeli Government
* Hey, Let's Just Let All the Terrorists Out
* Prisoner Exchange: I Don't Know, and You Don't Know Either

HRW Anti-Israel Bias Now A Mathematical Certainty

Standards

They've even got pie charts. The JPost writeup focuses on two broad charges, both of which naturally elicit shocked, shocked denials mingled with oh-so-righteous indignation.

(1) HRW only trots out "collective punishment" when it's Israel protecting itself from Palestinian terrorism:

Human Rights Watch has systematically condemned Israel for "collective punishment" in the Gaza Strip, undermining its stated agenda of promoting human rights universally, according to a report released this week by the Jerusalem-based watchdog NGO Monitor... "This report shows, yet again, that any claim of even-handedness by Human Rights Watch is hollow," said NGO Monitor's executive director, Bar-Ilan University Prof. Gerald Steinberg. "Their exclusive condemnation of Israeli 'collective punishment' is discriminatory, and should end immediately... "The idea that we exclusively condemn Israel is absurd," said HRW Middle East Division Deputy Director Joe Stork. "We do criticize the Israeli blockade of Gaza as collective punishment, and solidly so."

And yet:

While Stork could not point out any other country HRW had accused of "collective punishment," he stood by his organization's use of the term, and its application to Israeli policies in the Gaza Strip.

(2) HRW is so enamored with "cycle of violence" narratives - which de facto excuse Arab aggression - that they label indiscriminate rocket attacks on Israel "retaliatory":

The report also mentions that while HRW condemns IDF actions against Hamas-sponsored rocket attacks from Gaza, the attacks themselves are labeled as "retaliatory," thus faulting Israel for the violence on both sides. "That's absolutely false," said Stork. "We do not characterize these attacks as such, and if it's quoted in the report, it's been taken out of context. I'd be surprised if they're quoted at all."

He's actually kind of right, although this is JPost's mistake not Steinberg's. The "retaliation" quote that some HRW hack dropped isn't about Hamas - it's about Hezbollah:

The argument that Israel committed “worse” atrocities makes the Islamic Resistance’s violations no less significant. That Israel violated the laws of war does not justify the Islamic Resistance’s failure to abide by such laws; that Israel carried out indiscriminate strikes on populated areas in southern Lebanon in no way justifies the Islamic Resistance’s retaliatory strikes on civilian areas in Israel.

In fairness to JPost, it's an easy mistake to make. All of the genocidal anti-Israel organizations call themselves resistance organizations. Although it's a little curious that Hezbollah had stockpiled all those rockets up for "retaliation" Were they expecting that Israel might have a reason to come after them in the near future?

The full report is extensive, but it still can't include all of HRW's absurd anti-Israel shilling. This particular piece of nonsense, for instance, gets only the most cursory allusion.

References:
* NGO Monitor’s 2007 Report on HRW: Bias and Double Standards Continue [NGO Monitor]
* NGO accuses HRW of Israel obsession [JPost]
* The Protection of Civilians Has No Limits [HRW]
* HRW: "No Basis" For Claims That Hezbollah Used Human Shields. MR: What About All The Photos And Videos [Video] [MR]

Previously:
* Shameless, Textbook Example of anti-Israel bias: The LA Times Reports on Hezbollah Cluster Bombs Fired At Israel
* Dr. Freud, Line 1
* The Problem Isn't Any Particular Religion...

Life Imitates The Onion: Zawahri Lashes Out At Iranian And Hezbollah Truthers

First there was the Onion's brilliant point/counterpoint on the question, where an AQ press rep got salty with a US Truther for trying to deny Sunni jihadists the credit they deserve:


9/11 Conspiracy Theories 'Ridiculous,' Al Qaeda Says

And now there's reality:

Osama bin Laden's chief deputy on Tuesday denied a theory that Israel carried out the Sept. 11 attacks and blamed Iran and Shiite Hezbollah for spreading the idea to discredit the Sunni al-Qaida's strike against the U.S. The comments in a recording posted on an Islamic Web site reflected the increasing criticism by al-Qaida's No. 2 leader Ayman al-Zawahri against Iran... One of the questioners asked about the theory that has circulated in the Middle East and elsewhere that Israel was behind the 2001 attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon. Al-Zawahri accused Hezbollah's Al-Manar television of starting the rumor. "The purpose of this lie is clear - (to suggest) that there are no heroes among the Sunnis who can hurt America as no else did in history. Iranian media snapped up this lie and repeated it," he said.

Really? Really?

References:
* Al-Qaida No. 2 says 9/11 theory propagated by Iran [AP]

Previously:
* Iran, Hamas, And Islamic Jihad Meet In Syria To Plan Mideast Turmoil
* Clowns. Total Clowns (UN Speakers Edition)
* Hamas Media Lovefest Goes Awry As Green-Headband Wearing Farm Animals Begin Defecating, Having Sex

UNIFIL Soldiers Catch Hezbollah Moving Weapons, Get Shooed Away

Side By Side

Remember that time when UNIFIL commander Claudio Graziano condescendingly dismissed Israeli concerns about Hezbollah activity by saying that UNIFIL was "physically patrolling every corner of southern Lebanon"? And we were more or less like "he's obviously lying because Hezbollah just fired a bunch of rockets into Israel." It turns out that we may have been a little unfair. It's not that UNIFIL isn't aware that Hezbollah is in open violation of the UN resolution that convinced Israel to leave southern Lebanon. It's just that they're too pathetic to do anything about it:

Hizbullah gunmen chased away UNIFIL inspectors in south Lebanon who identified a truck carrying arms belonging to the guerrilla group, a report published twice a year by UN Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon revealed Tuesday. The incident was the first time UNIFIL troops confirmed the presence of Hizbullah gunmen south of the Litani River, in violation of UN Security Council Resolution 1701... Sources in Jerusalem said the incident was a source of great embarrassment for UNIFIL. The troops trailed the truck and stopped it, but when the troops approached the truck, armed Hizbullah members jumped out and threatened to hurt them if they would not leave the area. The source said UNIFIL's men turned back and left the scene.

The rest of the article says that this was kind of embarrassing for UNIFIL. Which is probably true, but just think how red-faced the Hezbollah guys were - usually they're able to use the UN and Israeli intel that UNIFIL leaks them to totally avoid these kinds of confrontations. Maybe it was a pesky random patrol. Or an officer showing just enough initiative to playact being a real soldier.

References:
* Katyushas Hit Israel Two Days After UNIFIL Commander Promises Peace [MR]
* Hizbullah chases away UNIFIL monitors [JPost]
* UN Peacekeepers Leaking Israeli Intel To Hezbollah [MR]

Previously:
* Hezbollah: We're Going To Commit Genocide To Avenge That Mughniyah Guy Who Never Had Anything To Do With Us
* Take Away Hezbollah's Collaborators, Human Shields, And Useful Idiots. Disband UNIFIL Now.
* Hezbollah Probably Lost the War, But They May Never Have Been In It To Win

State Department Public Diplomacy Scores Again - Nasrallah Now Most Admired Leader In The Arab World

Admired

We'll confess to being a little torn about this story.

Hezbollah chief Sheikh Nassan Nasrallah is the most admired leader in the Arab world, according to a poll released recently by the Anwar Sadat Chair for Peace and Development at the University of Maryland. Nasrallah seems to be gaining in popularity, with some 26 percent of respondents voicing support for him. Syrian President Bashar Assad also won an increase in popularity, according to the poll.

On one hand we want to use it to explain how the State Department's Lebanon II strategy - pulling the rug out from Israel's feet militarily and diplomaticly - ended with a new round of genocidal fantasizing in the Arab world. Except this time it's Nasrallah filling in for Nasser and Assad as the designated glorious genocider-in-chief.

But that might distract you from how the State Department's public diplomacy efforts - which are supposed to sway Arab hearts and minds away from ostensibly outdated concepts like "killing all the Jews would be pretty awesome" - quite literally broadcast Hezbollah propaganda:

During the March 21 House Foreign Operations Appropriations subcommittee hearing, Rep. Mark Kirk (R., Ill.) pressed Ms. Rice on the wisdom of providing a platform to Islamic terrorists, citing Hezbollah leader Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah's Dec. 7 speech, which Al-Hurra aired live. The broadcast speech "went on for 30 minutes," she responded, "followed by commentary, much of which was critical of Nasrallah."... The problem with American public diplomacy is that there's too much distrust in the Arab world. when we say that we're kind of well-meaning and that we'd like to live in peace with them, they simply don't believe us. So we suppose that Al-Hurra should be congratulated for finally finding fare that the Muslim world finds palatable. Minus the whole "vicious anti-Israel incitement" part. That part seems less optimism-inducing.

The mind boggling incompetence of Middle East diplomacy - a hodgepodge of career academics, washed out intel analysts, and lifetime bureaucrats who seemingly alternate between broadcasting Hezbollah propaganda in the Middle East and passing it off as "expert opinion" in the US - is sometimes genuinely impressive.

References:
* Survey: Nasrallah is the most admired leader in the Arab world [Ha'aretz]
* Hezbollah's New Museum Is Breathtakingly Ungrateful For Massive US Help During Lebanon II [MR]
* Confirmed: Rice Went Out Of Her Way To Screw Israel On Lebanon II [MR]
* Obligatory Post About Iran's "Hezbollah Radiation Will Destroy Israel" Threat (Plus: Mugniyah Assassination Dramatically Demonstrates Absurdity Of Liberal Foreign Policy Sophistication) [MR]

Previously:
* State Department Anti-Israel Ideology Gets Silly, Kills Americans
* State Department Gets Bright Idea: Let's Screw Israel Even More By Bundling Syria Into The Israeli-Palestinian Peace Process
* State Department Tries To Cleanse Obviously Illegal "No Jews Allowed" Application But Is Too Fucking Stupid To Turn Off Track Changes

Hezbollah Outreach To "Sunnis Who Are Loyal To Hezbollah" Not So Kind To Expert Expertise Of Foreign Policy Experts Who Deny Sunni-Shiite Cooperation

Outreach

Guess they don't hate each other that much after all:

At least 20 Hizbullah fighters have been killed during military training in Iran, the Kuwaiti newspaper Al-Watan reported Thursday evening, quoting the Director General of the Islamic Union in Lebanon, Muhammad Ali Husseini. The Lebanese official did not say exactly how the fighters were killed, but he made clear that "Hizbullah regards those killed while training in Iran as holy ones who died fulfilling their duties, and this concerns not only Shi'ites, but also Sunnis who are loyal to Hizbullah." "The training in Iran lies at the heart of our connections with the Iranian Revolutionary Guard", said Husseini... since November 2006, 4,500 Hizbullah fighters have been sent to Iran for training, with each round of training lasting three months. Every month, 300 Hizbullah fighters fly from Beirut to Teheran, with many of them coming from the villages south of the Litani River, said the report.

When the West is finally forced to confront Iran in ten or fifteen years - either in response to a cataclysmic wakeup call or as a last whimpering sigh of resignation - you can be quite sure that there will still be people saying that Iran has no confirmed connections to terrorism. These will be the same geniuses who spent years sneeringly deriding the "neoconservatives" and "Likudniks" who were lying about Mugniyah's connections to Hezbollah. Because Hezbollah assured them that there were in no way tied to Mugniyah. Right before they declared him a "pillar" of their endless genocidal war against Israel

References:
* Obligatory Post About Iran's "Hezbollah Radiation Will Destroy Israel" Threat (Plus: Mugniyah Assassination Dramatically Demonstrates Absurdity Of Liberal Foreign Policy Sophistication) [MR]

Previously:
* Iran Misses Memo About How Sunnis And Shiites Don't Cooperate, Gives Syria Cutting Edge Offensive Missiles (Plus: Expert Sophistication Wrong On Iranian Nuclearization. Again)
* The Denial of the Obvious By Reference to the Irrelevant: Center-Left Foreign Policy and Democratic Politics
* Palestinian Terrorist Poisoning Plot Not So Kind To Expert Expertise Of Anti-US, Anti-Israel Foreign Policy Experts Who Deny Sunni-Shiite Cooperation, Advocate Embrace Of Fatah

Palestinian Terrorist Poisoning Plot Not So Kind To Expert Expertise Of Foreign Policy Experts Who Deny Sunni-Shiite Cooperation, Advocate Embrace Of Fatah

Sophisticated

Obama's foreign policy advisers continue to insist that Israel has a Palestinian peace partner. Democratic activists continue to mock McCain for suggesting that Sunnis and Shiites sometimes cooperate on terrorism. This is getting retarded:

Two Palestinians from Nablus who worked illegally at a restaurant in Ramat Gan have been arrested for allegedly planning to poison the food they served, the Shin Bet (Israel Security Agency) announced on Thursday. The two 21-year-olds - Aham Rial and Anas Salum- confessed during their interrogations to plotting to poison food at the Grill Express restaurant located near the Diamond Exchange in Ramat Gan. The plan was to use a white, odorless and tasteless poison which they were to receive from their Al Aksa Martyrs' Brigades handlers in Nablus. The two said that they were recruited into Fatah's Al Aksa Martyrs' Brigades in Nablus - which the Shin Bet said was financed by Hizbullah - after they were already working at the restaurant. The two asked their handlers in Nablus to provide them with an odorless and tasteless poison that would go into effect only four hours after digested. In addition to plotting the poison attack, the two were also asked by the Nablus infrastructure to look into the possibility of assisting them infiltrating a suicide bomber into Israel.... Security officials said that the Fatah terror infrastructure in Nablus was still working to perpetrate attacks against Israel.

The reality-based community indeed. As if Iran doesn't fund and train Sunni terrorists in Iraq and Gaza and Syria. No seriously - tell us again about how Sunnis and Shiites hate each other too much to cooperate. Or about how Israeli concessions can leverage Fatah moderation against Hamas intransigence. Lets hear that story.

References:
* Top Obama Foreign Policy Adviser: No Seriously, We Are Totally Going To Screw Israel When We Get Into Power [MR]
* McCain Stumbles on Shiites v. Sunnis….Again [Political Punch]
* '2 Palestinians planned to poison food as Ramat Gan restaurant' [JPost]
* Flashback: Iran funds Shi’ite and Sunni jihadists in Iraq [Hot Air]
* Leftist Sophistication Watch: Shiites And Sunnis Do Work Together, Iran Admits Funneling Money To Hamas [MR]
* Iran Misses Memo About How Sunnis And Shiites Don't Cooperate, Gives Syria Cutting Edge Offensive Missiles (Plus: Expert Sophistication Wrong On Iranian Nuclearization. Again) [MR]

Previously:
* Hey, Turns Out That Ahmadinejad Might Be Someone The West Has To Worry About After All
* We're Going To Miss Westminster Abbey - Blair "Rolled Over" On Saudi Weapons Corruption Because They Threatened "Another 7/7" (Plus: Saudis Buying Their Way Into The State Department Through Georgetown)
* Professor Publishes Most Perfect 9/10 Liberal Self-Caricature Evuh

Syrian And Hezbollah Conspiracy Mongers: Israel's Defensive Drills Are Clever Ruse For Launching New War

Lunatics

It's a marked tic among conspiracy theorists that they will almost always project their own pathological quirks onto their enemy (and, more interestingly - but not as relevant for this post - gleefully embrace what they imagine their enemy's pathologies to be). In 1973 Israel's Arab enemies launched a surprise attack under the guise of a large-scale military exercise. Over the last week Israel has been running nation-wide drills to prepare its civilians for large-scale bombardment - not exactly an unrealistic scenario since just this morning the French Foreign Minister admitted that Hezbollah has restored its rocket capabilities. So naturally:

Hizbullah's deputy leader says new Israeli military exercises are intended to prepare for a new war on Lebanon. Sheik Naim Kassem also warned Sunday that the Islamic militant group was fully ready to defend Lebanon if Israel attacks again.

And naturally:

Syria thus fears that publication of the report at this juncture will lead to retaliation against Arab officials which collaborated with Israel to assassinate Mugniyah, thus giving Israel cause to wage an all-out war against Syria, Hizbullah and perhaps even Iran. Damascus, Syrian officials noted, does not want to give Israel any grounds to wage war against Lebanon or enter into a region-wide conflict, for which - as the current home front drill indicates - Israel is actively preparing. Fayssal Mekdad, Syria's deputy foreign minister commented on the Israeli drill, and stated Tuesday that "if Syria is the target for this drill, Israel ought to know that Damascus is carefully monitoring its actions, and is also preparing to contend with Israel’s military maneuvers and machinations."

It's sometimes useful to be reminded how Israel's genocidal enemies are - more or less - totally batshit crazy.

References:
* French foreign minister concerned over Hizbullah's restored abilities [YNet]
* Hizbullah: IDF exercises are preparation for new war on Lebanon [JPost]
* Newspaper: Israeli drill delays Mugniyah report [YNet]

Previously:
* This Is Why Public Diplomacy Will Fail - 9/11 Conspiracy Theory Edition
* Arab and Muslim Conspiracy Theories - Iranian Holocaust Denial Edition
* These Conspiracy Theories About Cho Are Still Stupid

Hezbollah: We're Going To Commit Genocide To Avenge That Mughniyah Guy Who Never Had Anything To Do With Us

Warmonger

Hezbollah has spent the last few months desperately searching for an excuse to drag Israel and Lebanon into another war. And wouldn't you know it, they found one so good that they're openly bragging about how they're going to commit genocide against millions of Jews:

Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah on Monday told tens of thousands of supporters in Beirut that Israel could be eliminated and that the prowess of its army had been exaggerated by "Zionist-American propaganda." "The Zionist entity can be wiped out of existence," Nasrallah said in his address via video link, referring to Israel. "Our nation is stronger now than ever before," he added. Nasrallah's speech was broadcast live at a rally marking the end of the 40-day mourning period for slain Hezbollah military chief Imad Mughniyah, who was assassinated in a car bombing in Damascus last month... Nasrallah also renewed his vow to retaliate for the death of Mughniyah. "The one who killed our commander must be punished. The killers must be punished and they will be punished, God willing," Nasrallah said, drawing cheers from the crowd. "We will choose the time, place and manner of punishment."

Technically his nation is weaker than ever but that just means that the Hezbollah-controlled international media will get better photos. Broadcasting pictures of "disproportionate" Israeli battlefield victories - it's apparently next best thing to crowing like idiots about Israeli battlefield defeats.

Isn't it weird how Israel's execution of Mughniyah has thrown Hezbollah into a blind genocidal rage? Because for years sophisticated foreign policy elites glibly repeated Hezbollah's propaganda about how there was no connection between the Lebanese "resistance" group and Iran's favorite arch-terrorist. Guess they got that wrong. Which is also weird, since this was a huge and really obvious relationship - and they're supposed to be objective experts.

References:
* Hezbollah Now Threatening To Start War To Protect Drug Dealers, Petty Criminals [MR]
* Nasrallah: The Zionist entity can be wiped out of existence [Ha'aretz]
* Meanwhile, Lebanon Is Kind Of Going To Hell - Good Job, State Department! [MR]
* Journalism Expert: Hezbollah Established Total Media Control By Threatening, Attacking Reporters [Video] [MR]
* Olmert: Hezbollah Got Trounced [MR]
* Obligatory Post About Iran's "Hezbollah Radiation Will Destroy Israel" Threat (Plus: Mugniyah Assassination Dramatically Demonstrates Absurdity Of Liberal Foreign Policy Sophistication) [MR]

Previously:
* Multiple Hezbollah Terror Strikes Set To Go Off This Weekend? (Plus: Arab World Ready To Cut Off Assad?)
* UN Peacekeepers Leaking Israeli Intel To Hezbollah
* Hezbollah Probably Lost the War, But They May Never Have Been In It To Win

Multiple Hezbollah Terror Strikes Set To Go Off This Weekend? (Plus: Arab World Ready To Cut Off Assad?)

Revenge

Yeah, we dunno:

Security forces are on high alert in Israel and at Israeli and Jewish institutions abroad before the end of the 40-day mourning period for Hezbollah terror chief Imad Mughniyah... The mourning period ends on Sunday... Israeli military officials are particularly concerned about possible simultaneous attacks in Israel and on Israeli diplomatic offices and Jewish institutions abroad... Security officials say that Hezbollah wants to "reset the balance of terror vis-a-vis Israel to zero" in the wake of Mughniyah's death, to deter Israel from future attacks on Hezbollah's leaders. To do this, the organization would have to carry out a major attack that would draw international attention.

Obviously Hezbollah will have to respond to Mughniyah's execution. But the Lebanese political crisis is reaching a point where the March 14th folks are openly talking about civil war. Will Hezbollah really risk dragging Lebanon into another military confrontation with the IDF? The last one cost them so dearly that Nasrallah was begging for a ceasefire within a couple days.

On the other hand - the Arab world's condemnations of Syria are getting so shrill that Assad might be tempted to unleash Hezbollah - if only as a last ditch effort to unite Arab leaders against the mendacious Zionists:

Continue reading "Multiple Hezbollah Terror Strikes Set To Go Off This Weekend? (Plus: Arab World Ready To Cut Off Assad?)" »

Lebanon - Another Country Where Obama Can Make Things Much Worse

Politician

When Mughniyeh was killed in Damascus on the same day that Brzezinski was there talking about how the US and Syria have a shared interest in regional stability - well, some very good Syria experts thought that Obama would have to tone down his Anti-US Global Apology Tour "dialogue" promises. The odds for a recalculation are not particularly promising, since it appears that Obama doesn't have the first clue about the Syria-Lebanon situation:

Someone got Barak Obama to comment on Lebanon. While he spoke against Syrian and Iranian meddling, and urged the disarming of Hizbullah, he also gave us this gem: "Washington musts rectify the wrong policy of President George Bush in Lebanon and resort to an efficient and permanent diplomacy, rather than empty slogans," he added. He also said that the US must cooperate with its European and Arab allies to sponsor an inter-Lebanese consensus on a stable and democratic Lebanon. Readers of this blog will find this painfully hilarious, and possibly indicative of Obama's ignorance of the situation in Lebanon. I don't expect the presidential hopeful to read Lebanese news every day, but really, the situation has gotten so repetitive that it should be clear that the above statement is at best moronic. What kind of diplomacy that has not been tried before by the "Europeans and Arab allies" will help Lebanon? I am not going to defend the Bush administration's policy in Lebanon. It may reek of "empty slogans" at times, but how does talking to criminals create solutions? And pray explain how supporting the Hariri tribunal, as Obama said he does, can be reconciled with chatting up the ones who killed him?

That's from an actual foreign policy expert who actually reads and writes things about Lebanon and Syria. And yet his reasoning doesn't appear to have penetrated the left's ostensibly fact-obsessed reality-based community (weird, that). And both sides declaring themselves ready for all out civil war, engagement and diplomacy are working out great in Lebanon. More non-military hope and change will definitely solve the problem.

References:
* Responses to "Imad Mughniyah is dead" [David Schenker]
* Obama, Lebanon and the myth of change [From Beirut To The Beltway]
* March 14 puts war on the table [From Beirut To The Beltway]
* Meanwhile, Lebanon Is Kind Of Going To Hell - Good Job, State Department! [MR]

Previously:
* Hezbollah: Yeah, We're Definitely Going To Start Another War
* Lebanon On Brink Of Civil War (Plus: State Department Prepares To Import Same Strategy To West Bank)
* State Department Strategy Of Shielding Hezbollah During Lebanon II Working Out Great As Presidential Elections Postponed Again

Continue reading "Lebanon - Another Country Where Obama Can Make Things Much Worse" »

UN Finally Notices Hamas Bombing Of Israeli Civilians, Rushes To Condemn Israel For Responding (Update: The EU Too!)

UN Supporters

Sigh. We had the State Department in the "who will condemn the 'disproportionate Israeli response' first". We never win these things:

United Nations Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon told the Security Council on Saturday he condemned what he described as Israel's "excessive and disproportionate" use of force in the Gaza Strip. Speaking at an emergency session of the council on the escalation of violence in Gaza, called by Security Council member Libya on behalf of the Arab League and at the request of Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, Ban also condemned Palestinian rocket attacks against southern Israel. "While recognizing Israel's right to defend itself, I condemn the disproportionate and excessive use of force that has killed an injured so many civilians, including children," Ban told the emergency session of the council. "I call on Israel to cease such attacks," he said. Ban said there had been 26 Palestinian rocket attacks against Israel on Saturday alone. "I condemn Palestinian rocket attacks and call for the immediate cessation of such acts of terrorism," he said.

It's nice that he noticed the Palestinian rocket attacks. Because up until now it's been quite literally impossible to get the UNSC to hint that there might be something wrong about the nearly 5,000 rockets raining down on Israeli schools and hospitals over the last two years (more the opposite). Wonder what changed on the ground to get their attention. We don't really think that it's the flood of Palestinian death porn that the Arab media has been broadcasting (next up: the New York Times? ). Could it be that rarest of all things - a Israeli Defense Minister fed up with genocidal lunatics targeting a city of 100,000 civilians with WWII-style indiscriminate bombing?

Thankfully, some things never change: last month the Libya blocked the UN from diplomatically pressuring Hamas and this month they're pushing a resolution condemning Israel for pursuing the only option the IDF has left. The great thing about Libya is that they'll use their UNSC seat to defend anyone attacking Israel. Hamas, Hezbollah, anybody - they'll defend all of them. Which is why the UN is so awesome.

UPDATE: Hey neat: the EU has found it in their hearts to condemn the Palestinian bombing of Israeli cities. And wouldn't you know it, their condemnation comes in the form of a much broader condemnation of the Israeli counterattack. Hey, you don't think that's the reason do you?

References:
* Rice: We Really Need To Focus On How The Innocent People In Gaza Are Being Victimized By The Government They Elected [MR]
* UN chief: Israel's use of violence in Gaza is 'disproportionate' [Ha'aretz]
* Libya withholds support for UN draft condemning Qassam fire [Ha'aretz]
* US vetoes 'biased' UN resolution attacking Israel's Gaza bloodbath [The Independent]
* On Arab TV, the images from Gaza are of dead women and children [Ha'aretz]
* Beit Hanoun Meme Watch - (2) "The Palestinians Are Really Pissed Off" - And The NYT Will Publish Death Porn To Prove It [MR]
* UN Condemns Israeli-Palestinian Violence [AP]
* Libya thwarts Security Council censure of Shlomi missile strike [Ha'aretz]

Previously:
* Orthodox Los Angeles Rabbi: Israel Must Help Palestinians Screw Israel In Negotiations Because It's The Right Thing To Do (Plus: The Anti-Semitic Fantasy Of Jewish Purity That Guarantees Unending War)
* UNIFIL Spy Ship Disrupts Electronic Signals Across Israel (Plus: Syria Confirms It Was A Nuke Facility)
* * Libya thwarts Security Council censure of Shlomi missile strike [Ha'aretz]

Meanwhile, Lebanon Is Kind Of Going To Hell - Good Job, State Department!

Democratic

Saudi Arabia and Kuwait are calling on their citizens to leave "as soon as possible." The US just moved three warships into the region. And Hezbollah and Syria are willing to let the entire country burn:

A U.S. deployment of warships off Lebanon sharpened tensions in the crisis-ridden nation as the Shiite militant group Hezbollah said it won't be intimidated, and the U.S.-backed government that the ships may be intended to bolster distanced itself from the move... "We are facing an American threat against Lebanon," Hezbollah legislator Hassan Fadlallah said on local television. "It is clear this threat and intimidation will not affect us," he said. The government and opposition have been locked in a 15-month power struggle, with Hezbollah and its allies trying to force out Siniora's administration. The deadlock has prevented the country from electing a president since November, leaving the post empty in a dangerous power vacuum. Though both sides have tried to prevent violence, many fear the political conflict could turn into clashes between the two camps.

Hey, remember that time when the IDF was ready to dismantle Hezbollah once and for all? But then Olmert got held back by the State Department right before Rice went out of her way to screw Israel diplomatically? That's working out well.

References:
* Lebanese TV: Saudi, Kuwait urge nationals to leave Lebanon [Ha'aretz]
* US sends 3 warships to Mediterranean as tensions mount [JPost]
* Hezbollah says not intimidated by U.S. warship deployment [Ha'aretz]
* Hezbollah's New Museum Is Breathtakingly Ungrateful For Massive US Help During Lebanon II [MR]
* Confirmed: Rice Went Out Of Her Way To Screw Israel On Lebanon II [MR]

Previously:
* Kids Being Brainwashed To Hate Jews In Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, Gaza, Egypt, Iran, Etc Etc [Videos]
* Pentagon Gets Brilliant Idea: Let's Give Lebanon Cutting-Edge Military Tech, Training
* Lebanon Government Heading Off Civil War By Siding With Hezbollah

Obligatory Post About Iran's "Hezbollah Radiation Will Destroy Israel" Threat (Plus: Mugniyah Assassination Dramatically Demonstrates Absurdity Of Liberal Foreign Policy Sophistication)

Bye

This one's probably not a "we will nuke Israel" threat of the kind usually made by Iranian moderates and elected officials. It's the age-old "Jews are cancer" metaphor that's driving this threat to commit genocide - the part where he may or may not imply slipping a nuke to Iran's terrorist proxy is just a happy coincidence:

"The cancerous growth Israel will soon disappear," Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps commander Muhammad Ali Jafari wrote to Hizbullah leader Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah, the FARS news agency reported Monday. In a letter of condolences following last week's assassination of Hizbullah terror chief Imad Mughniyeh, Jafari said: "I am convinced that with every passing day Hizbullah's might is increasing and in the near future, we will witness the disappearance of this cancerous growth Israel by means of the Hizbullah fighters' radiation [therapy]." In the letter, in which Jafari consoled Nasrallah over the death of the "martyr," he continued: "There's no doubt that the death of this loyal fighter will strengthen the resolve of all revolutionary Muslims and fighters in the struggle against the Zionist regime, particularly the resolve of those who fought by this martyr's side."

Nice to see that Hezbollah and Iran are finally acknowledging some responsibility for Mugniyah. For decades they've had foreign policy elites and journals gullibly repeating their nonsense about how they've got no connections to a man responsible for the murder of thousands:

Continue reading "Obligatory Post About Iran's "Hezbollah Radiation Will Destroy Israel" Threat (Plus: Mugniyah Assassination Dramatically Demonstrates Absurdity Of Liberal Foreign Policy Sophistication)" »

Lebanon Government Heading Off Civil War By Siding With Hezbollah

Victory

Hey, everyone remember how the State Department prevented the IDF from decimating Hezbollah and then went out of their way to screw Israel diplomatically - because they wanted to avoid destabilizing the Siniora regime? Good job guys:

Developments Thursday could define the course for the next phase in the political confrontation, whether Lebanon slides further into chaos - and possibly civil war - or takes a step back from the brink. But statements from government coalition leaders offering condolences in the wake of Mugniyah's killing, indicated that majority leaders were toning down their sharp rhetoric, dominant in recent days, so as not to further inflame tensions with the opposition. Such tensions have spilled into sporadic violence in recent months.

In order to avoid a civil war that Iranian proxies would win, government officials are taking the side of... Iranian proxies. They're not doing it willingly - it's not like March 14 actually likes Hezbollah. They're doing it because Hezbollah has too much support for them not to.

At least the US isn't set to unload unprecedented US security assistance on the not particularly stable Lebanese government. Because nobody's that stupid.

References:
* Hezbollah's New Museum Is Breathtakingly Ungrateful For Massive US Help During Lebanon II [MR]
* Confirmed: Rice Went Out Of Her Way To Screw Israel On Lebanon II [MR]
* Lebanese gather for mass funeral of slain militant [YNet]
* Pentagon Gets Brilliant Idea: Let's Give Lebanon Cutting-Edge Military Tech, Training [MR]

Previously:
* Lebanon On Brink Of Civil War (Plus: State Department Prepares To Import Same Strategy To West Bank)
* Unknown Group With Freedom Of Movement In South Lebanon And A Katyusha Stockpile Bombs Israel. No Retaliation Planned.
* State Department Strategy Of Shielding Hezbollah During Lebanon II Working Out Great As Presidential Elections Postponed Again

Did Israel Make Mugniyah Dead Because He Was Developing CBWs?

Modern day Nazis. No, really.

We're kind of skeptical because if Hezbollah wanted chemical and biological weapons, they'd just get them from Syria. But he's Walid Phares and we're not, so here you go:

Mugniyah's death will be a significant blow to Hezbollah’s international operations. Analysts believe that Mugniyah was responsible for overseeing the terrorist group’s international operations, including its groups across the globe. Moreover, one of my sources in Lebanon said yesterday that he believed Mugniyah was overseeing the development of chemical and biological weapons for Hezbollah. Thus, the loss of such a central figure will surely be a blow. As an indication of Mugniyah’s prominence, the ransom for his arrest was higher than Hezbollah secretary-general Sayyid Nasrallah.

On the other hand, it would follow Israel waiting until the last second when it comes to Iranian-Syrian-Hezbollah weapons of mass destruction. Begging the immediate question: did the State Department try to stop Israel from protecting itself and the US? Stop it again, we mean.

References:
* This Summer's War With Syria - Syria Aims Chemical And Biological Weapons At Israeli Cities, Complains That Israel Might Attack It To Prevent It From Launching Chemical And Biological Weapons [MR]
* Mughniyah's strike: A Benchmark in the Counter Terror War [CT Blog]
* Merkel To Putin: Iran Is Kind Of Crazy, Shouldn't Get Nukes (Plus: Yup, Operation Orchard Hit A Nuke Facility) [MR]
* Syria's Been Building Their Nuclear Reactor Since 2003 And The State Department Still Tried To Stop Israel From Taking It Out (Plus: Awesome IDF Bombing Raid Just Got Filled With Even More Awesome) [MR]

Previously:
* Assad: Give Us The Golan Or We Won't Pressure Israel To Give Jerusalem To The Palestinians
* Iran, Hamas, And Islamic Jihad Meet In Syria To Plan Mideast Turmoil
* Syria To Launch Bio-Weapons Against Jewish State If The US Attacks Iran

The Totally Awesome Israeli Operation That Blew Up Mugniyah Right Under Assad's Nose

Loser

Looks like Damascus is losing its hard-fought status as the world's leading terrorist safehouse. Having the IAF demonstrate utter contempt for your cutting edge anti-aircraft system is one thing. But not being able to secure one of your prize terrorists in your own capital? Tsk, tsk:

A nasty surprise awaited Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki, who was scheduled to arrive in Damascus on Wednesday to discuss the Lebanese crisis with Bashar Assad. Syria, the Iranian minister found out, is no longer a secure state, its intelligence is penetrable, and Iran's emissaries and friends - whether the leaders of Islamic Jihad or Hamas - are now, with Imad Mughniyah's assassination, in the first line of fire. Mottaki could have surmised that in Damascus, he too could be an easy target. If Mottaki got a surprise, Assad was hit with the full blow that under his own nose, and not in fragmented Lebanon "full of traitors," as Hezbollah says, such a complex operation could have been cooked up and carried out.

In fairness to Assad, it's tough to secure Damascus - a city already crawling with foreign intrigue as the home of some of the world's most excerable terrorist cretins - when the Mossad is this aweomse:

Whoever carried out the operation demonstrated very impressive capabilities, in particular in collecting intelligence. Such an operation requires the most exact planning for months in advance. Precise information is needed, which must come from the target's inner circle. They must have provided details on his daily routine, movements, hiding places and security arrangements. Planning such an operation also requires precision in getting the operators where they need to be, and even more important, they must know how to get away. And all this must be done without leaving a trace... There is no doubt that the killing sent an unequivocal message to Nasrallah that maybe he should lower his profile of arrogance and self-confidence.In addition, the killing rocks the organization's stability and makes it raise its suspicions about traitors from the inside. Without any doubt, the killing will also harm Hezbollah's operational capabilities.

So one of the world's most dangerous terrorists - a man the US considered as evil as Bin Laden and twice as capable - was hiding out in Damascus? Say, you think the State Department knew that when they totally screwed Israel by bundling Syria into Annapolis?

References:
* Iran, Hamas, And Islamic Jihad Meet In Syria To Plan Mideast Turmoil [MR]
* Assad Was Planning To Use Nukes Against Israel (Plus: The Totally Awesome IAF Commando Operation That Slowed Him Down) [MR]
* ANALYSIS: Mughniyah death could spark Lebanese civil war [Ha'aretz]
* ANALYSIS: Whoever killed Mughniyah showed impressive capabilities [Ha'aretz]
* State Department Gets Bright Idea: Let's Screw Israel Even More By Bundling Syria Into The Israeli-Palestinian Peace Process [MR]

Previously:
* This Summer's War With Syria - Syria Aims Chemical And Biological Weapons At Israeli Cities, Complains That Israel Might Attack It To Prevent It From Launching Chemical And Biological Weapons
* Syria Responds To US Peacemaking Team By Sentencing Political Dissident
* Syria's Been Building Their Nuclear Reactor Since 2003 And The State Department Still Tried To Stop Israel From Taking It Out (Plus: Awesome IDF Bombing Raid Just Got Filled With Even More Awesome)

Irony-Challenged Iranians Condemn Israel's Hit On Iranian-Sponsered Terrorist As "State Terrorism"

What?

In fairness to them, this isn't really hypocritical since Iran only officially supports non-state terrorism. Still, Tehran's condemnation seems to lack something in the way of introspection, no?

Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Mohammad Ali Hosseini expressed Iran's "strong condemnation" of the killing. "This action is a clear result and example of organized state terrorism by the Zionist regime," he said, according to the state news agency IRNA. He called on the world to "prevent the Zionist regime from taking these actions that are a clear violation of international law." Hosseini praised Mugniyah, 45, who was believed to have masterminded a string of attacks in the 1980s and 1990s that killed hundreds of Americans and targeted US, Israeli and Jewish interests in Lebanon and elsewhere. He was also on an FBI wanted list with a $25 million bounty on his head, equal to that the US has put for al-Qaeda leader Osama bin-Laden. Hosseini called Mugniyah "a golden page in the history of mankind's fight against the aggressive and occupying Zionists."

Iran's position appears to be that terrorism is good when it kills hundreds of people but bad when it's aimed at terrorists who are good because they kill hundreds of people. Or something. With sophisticated nuance like that, they could probably score a CFR fellowship or a WaPo editorial or something. And we'd have a punchline about that, except it's probably true.

PS - do you think they'll let Israel use the $25 million to pay off some of their US debt?

References:
* More Fun With the Chronicle's "Concise Primer on the Middle East Conflict" [MR]
* Iran: Mugniyah killing result of Israeli 'state terrorism' [YNet]
* Memo To Diplomatic Sophisticates: Ahmadinejad Did Not Get The Part Where You Meeting With Him and Being Nice To Him Was A 'Criticism' [MR]

Previously:
* Iranian Nukes In 2009, IAEA: What Nukes? (Plus: Iran Systematically Persecuting Baha'i. Again)
* Ahmadinejad: We Should Totally Establish An International Islamic Court
* "Unprecedented" Power Grab By Iranian Ultra-Hardliners Casts Doubt On "Pragmatists Are Winning" Liberal Sophistication

Former CIA Advisor: "Significant" Israeli Operation Means Hezbollah Is Compromised (Plus: Nasrallah Up Next?)

He Just Didn't Know

That would be a pretty good day:

Former CIA official Bruce Riedel says all signs seem to indicate the Mossad was behind the killing [of Mugniyah]... Currently a senior fellow with the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institute, he says Mugniyah's assassination proves Israel has successfully infiltrated Hizbullah and that even Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah knows he may also be in the crosshairs. "Israeli intelligence services have motive and they have proven their ability to strike in Damascus in the past. This is a significant operation, whether or not the Israelis want to publicly admit to it. He (Mugniyah) has topped the US and Israel's most-wanted list for a quarter of a century," said Riedel... And [Nasrallah] may have good reason to worry, said Riedel. "He's wondering who tipped off Mugniyah's location. That same individual could also reveal his own whereabouts... Mugniyah also acted as a go-between with Iranian intelligence and Hamas."

Here's the thing about that last part. Iran is Shiite and Hamas is Sunni. Does that mean that - contrary to the decade-long insistence of left-leaning sophisticates - Sunnis and Shiites really do work together? Because that would be a total shock.

References:
* Former CIA official: Mossad behind Mugniyah killing [YNet]
* Leftist Sophistication Watch: Shiites And Sunnis Do Work Together, Iran Admits Funneling Money To Hamas [MR]

Previously:
* This Is Why Public Diplomacy Will Fail - Islamists Take It Over And Use It For Propaganda
* Nasrallah Crawls Into the Light, Immediately Starts Boasting
* Nasrallah: Hezbollah Doesn't Want Another Great Victory Over the Zionists

Irony-Challenged Syrians Condemn Damascus Car Bombing Of Hezbollah Thug

Dead Terrorist

This one is particularly special because there was early speculation that the bombing was a retaliation for Syria's car bombing of Hariri. Say what you will about them, they certainly do have a kind of unblinking shamelessness:

Syria's Interior Minister Brig. Gen. Bassam Abdul-Majid confirmed Mughniyeh's death Wednesday, the state-run news agency SANA reported. It was the first official comment from Syria since Tuesday night's explosion in the Damascus neighborhood of Kfar Sousse. The agency quoted Abdul-Majid as saying an investigation into the blast was under way. "The ongoing investigation over the car bomb in the residential Kfar Sousse neighborhood last night has proven that it targeted Lebanese combatant Imad Mughniyeh," SANA said, quoting Abdul-Majid. "Syria condemns this cowardly terrorist act," SANA quoted Abdul-Majid as saying.

Dunno about how cowardly it was. The Mossad is denying any connection, but everything points to a pretty spectacular infiltration of Hezbollah. In any case, we've opened betting on who'll be the first foreign policy expert to declare that Israel is heating up the border after Syria's spent the last two years bragging about how they're going to go to war with Israel.

References:
* Score: Imad Mughniyeh killed by car bomb; Update: Revenge for Hariri? Update: Israeli M.O.? [Hot Air]
* Mere Rhetoric: UN Investigation Concludes Syria Responsible for Hariri Assassination [MR]
* Mughniyeh assassination 'severe blow' to Hizbullah [JPost]
* Syrian-Based Palestinian Terrorist: Iran, Syria, Hezbollah, And Palestinians Prepared To Attack Israel [MR]

Previously:
* Hezbollah to Arab Countries: We're Losing the War. Quick, Someone Impose a Ceasefire.
* Hezbollah Now Threatening To Start War To Protect Drug Dealers, Petty Criminals
* Hezbollah Probably Lost the War, But They May Never Have Been In It To Win

Hezbollah Now Threatening To Start War To Protect Drug Dealers, Petty Criminals

Warmongers

It's almost like they're just looking for an excuse to go to war:

Defense officials downplayed Hizbullah threats on Monday to retaliate against the deadly shooting by IDF troops a day earlier of a man across the border in southern Lebanon. The comments by Hizbullah lawmaker Hussein Haj Hassan came a day after troops opened fire at three suspected drug smugglers who were spotted trying to cross into the Israeli side of the split town of Ghajar, which straddles the Israeli-Lebanese border... "This matter definitely will not pass in a way [in which] the people will remain silent," Haj Hassan said on LBC television Monday. "It is the right of the resistance to respond one day by any means."

Interesting what these people choose to "resist" to. Not that it will matter once they commit whatever act of war they're planning - at that point, it'll all be Israel's fault. Because that's just how it works.

References:
* Hizbullah: We'll answer Ghajar killing [JPost]
* It's Official - Everything Is Israel's Fault [MR]

Previously:
* Palestinians Blame Israel For Their Own Infighting. Of Course They Do.
* 9 Out Of 10 Palestinian Kids Suffer Literal Child Abuse (Plus: Naturally, It's Israel's Fault)
* UNRWA Pours Millions Into Terrorism, Blames Israel (Plus: UNRWA Complains That Israel Is Blocking UNRWA Funding. Hmm)

Confirmed: Rice Went Out Of Her Way To Screw Israel On Lebanon II

Flag waving

Classic State Department anti-Israel bait-and-switch:

The former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, John Bolton, accused Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice of giving in to French and Lebanese demands over the terms of the cease-fire that halted the 2006 Second Lebanon War... Carmon emphasized that Rice had agreed that the draft cease-fire resolution would stipulate that the international peacekeeping force in southern Lebanon would operate under Chapter VI of the UN charter, which would give it observer status only. She also agreed that the disputed Shaba Farms, the border area claimed by Hezbollah as Lebanese territory but internationally recognized as Syrian, would be mentioned in the resolution. Israel opposed both clauses... "Bolton said tonight in a conversation with Gillerman that the secretary of state took the task of negotiations [over the resolution] upon herself, and she is personally involved in all of its details. Rice is the one who agreed to the last two changes that were discussed in talks tonight between [former undersecretary of state Nick] Burns and Jerusalem - Chapter VI and Shaba Farms... Bolton described with sorrow a situation in which the French surrendered to all of the Arab demands and the United States isn't prepared to give up on the 'holy alliance' with the Europeans."

The chapter VII controversy was obviously a total screwjob even at the time. But don't miss how elegantly this disadvantaged Israel. There are two moves here. The first is getting Israel to agree to a ceasefire in exchange for a more robust UNIFIL force. The second is getting Israel to agree to 15,000 new UNIFIL troops because they would be more robust. Rice got Olmert to agree to a ceasefire by promising that the new UNIFIL force would be able to militarily operate against Hezbollah. Once he halted Israeli military operations - and that's not the kind of thing that you can take back - she pulled the rug out and put 15,000 new de facto human shields in Lebanon. And Israel couldn't object to new human shields being put on the ground, because it had been worked out that more troops was what they were getting in exchange for the ceasefire.

There's only one way that UNIFIL's expansion could have worked out worse for Israel. And wouldn't you know it...

Continue reading "Confirmed: Rice Went Out Of Her Way To Screw Israel On Lebanon II" »

UN Peacekeepers Leaking Israeli Intel To Hezbollah

Allies

Here's how this game gets played:

(1) Israel accuses UNIFIL of allowing Hezbollah to operate in south Lebanon
(2) UNIFIL says "well we obviously don't see any of that - give us proof"
(3) Israel provides UNIFIL with details about all of the Hezbollah bases and operations that UNIFIL claims don't exist
(4) UNIFIL passes that information to Hezbollah, which then moves those bases and operations so Israel can't monitor or target them any more, in the process getting relatively precise information about the scope of Israel's intelligence gathering capabilities

We're so glad that the international community has shown up to bring peace to the region:

A day after two Katyusha rockets struck Shlomi in the Galilee, defense officials raised concerns Wednesday that information they were regularly passing on to UNIFIL and the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) was also making its way to Hizbullah. According to the officials, the IDF regularly updates UNIFIL and the LAF on its assessments concerning Hizbullah's military buildup in southern Lebanon... "This is a difficult scenario," one official in Jerusalem said. "On the one hand, we count on UNIFIL and the LAF and therefore need to update them. On the other hand, there is always a concern that the information we supply them with will fall into the wrong hands."

Amazing that these people - among whom are soldiers who describe Lebanon as a second homeland that must be defended from Israel and who then allow Hezbollah soldiers to somehow grab their van's license plate and use it to lure in and kidnap Israeli soldiers - amazing that they are leaking intel. Whatever could be their motive?

Open collaborators, human shields, and useful idiots - all of them. But you know what would be a great idea? To put a UNIFIL-style international peacekeeping force in the West Bank like Secretary Rice suggested earlier this week. Because the word "peace" is in the name, so how can that possibly turn out poorly?

References:
* UNIFIL leaks to Hizbullah worry IDF [JPost]
* UNIFIL Involvement in 2000 Kidnapping Not News. Involvement of UNIFIL Soldier Who Thought of Lebanon as "Second Homeland", However, Is. [MR]
* Take Away Hezbollah's Collaborators, Human Shields, And Useful Idiots. Disband UNIFIL Now. [MR]
* State Department: How About An Unbiased, Totally Objective International Force In The West Bank? [MR]

Previously:
* The UN Should Stay the Hell Out of Israel's Way
* UN Building Hit in Lebanon. UN, AP blame Israel. Yawn.
* UNIFIL: We Suck. We Totally, Totally Suck.

Cross-posted to:
* Israpundit

Unknown Group With Freedom Of Movement In South Lebanon And A Katyusha Stockpile Bombs Israel. No Retaliation Planned.

Partners

Who could it be? UNIFIL - which condescendingly instructed Israel to stop complaining because UN troops were "physically patrolling every corner of southern Lebanon" - is totally baffled:

The firing of two Katyushas at Shlomi is a "severe incident but we do not plan to change the status quo," Defense Minister Ehud Barak said Tuesday, the day after two 107-millimeter rockets landed in the northern neighborhood... A senior defense official said Israel held Hizbullah responsible for the attack even if the group was not directly behind the launching of the rockets. "Nothing happens in southern Lebanon without Hizbullah knowing about it," he said. In addition, the official said Israel viewed the Lebanese government as being the ultimate authority for what happens in the country. A senior UNIFIL officer told the Jerusalem Post that the force was conducting its own investigation into the rocket fire and that at this stage, it did not rule out any suspects, including Hizbullah, al-Qaida and radical groups in southern Lebanon... On Monday night, Barak told the Council for Peace and Security that Hizbullah had more rockets than before the war in 2006.

Could be anyone, really. And isn't it nice that Israel can't respond because it would disrupt Bush's visit? Wouldn't want to disrupt the era of peace that he's about to usher in. We can only hope that it will be as good as the peace deal he worked out after Lebanon II. After he promised that the Lebanese government would enforce its authority over South Lebanon and disarm Hezbollah, we haven't heard a peep from those genocidal lunatics.

This comes exactly a day after the State Department floated the idea of putting a UNIFIL-like force in the West Bank. There's probably no truth to Israel's claim that international forces serve as de facto human shields for enemy soldiers, letting them fire off potshots at Israel's vulnerable and densely packed population centers before slinking away while the international peacekeepers "investigate".

References:
* Katyushas Hit Israel Two Days After UNIFIL Commander Promises Peace [MR]
* Katyusha attack 'severe' but we won't change status quo [JPost]
* State Department: How About An Unbiased, Totally Objective International Force In The West Bank? [MR]

Previously:
* US Joins Rest Of World In Offering Biased Anti-Israel UN Resolutions
* Abbas Reverses Pre-Annapolis Position, Calls For Reconcilation With Hamas: "No Way" Fatah Is An Alternative To Hamas
* Rice Welcomes Israel's Decision To Cave On East Jerusalem. Well Fuck.

Monday JBlog Roundup - Hezbollah Spy, Palestinian Aid, Saving Jerusalem, Etc.

There was a time when we were like "this is boring - we're just writing the same post over and over again." But now that US intelligence analysts and diplomats are finding new ways to constantly screw up or new concessions that they imagine Israel should offer, we're kind of pining for the old days. Which were like two months ago.

* Hey, remember how the FBI and CIA got infiltrated by a Hezbollah spy who never should have been given clearance for anything? Remember how two days ago Atlas blogged some reports that the mole outed FBI informants and undermined anti-terror efforts? Where'd that story go?

* One Jerusalem's most recent video in their ongoing work to save Jerusalem:

* Rick Richman follows up on Anne Lieberman's extensive roundup of PA-targeted aid from the last two years. Apparently electing an intransigent genocidal regime openly committed to the destruction of Western ally - pretty good way to get aid.

* Augean Stables humiliates Israeli peacenik Uri Avnery. This one's long but most of the takedowns apply to each and every one of Avnery's articles. The opening quote from Avnery - "of course he used me" - is particularly money. Click through to find out who "he" was.

Hezbollah Now Using Armed Troops To Stop UNIFIL From Inspecting Even More Massively Armed Neighborhoods And Strongholds

Good Job State Department!

Remember when UNIFIL commander Major General Claudio Graziano condescendingly mocked Israelis for saying that Hezbollah was rearming and reasserting its authority? Remember how he did it while lecturing the Israelis about how security overflights to protect their citizens were totally unnecessary? His exact line was "we are physically patrolling every corner of southern Lebanon and if there was a bunker [system] we would have found it." The UN has already admitted that that was a bit of a fib, albeit months after anyone with eyes could tell that the Hezbollah was in control because their banners and troops were everywhere.

But the sheer beauty of this is simply staggering. Physically patrollin