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Obama DOD: Iran's New More Accurate Solid Fuel Missile Is No Big Deal (Plus: Developing An H-Bomb?)

Big Deal

Iran provokes. The US responds with milquetoast banalities. Like clockwork:

The new medium-range missile tested by Iran is "not particularly different than what we've seen in the past," said Pentagon defense spokesman Geoff Morrell on Wednesday, according to a Reuters report. The report quoted Morrell as saying that US intelligence shows the missile - said to be capable of targeting parts of Israel - is not a sign of advanced military capabilities acquired by Teheran... "Such actions will increase the seriousness and resolve of the international community to hold Iran accountable for its continued defiance of its international obligations on its nuclear program," he said.

Really? Because according to the NYT the new missile is more accurate and can be launched faster than all of their previous missiles. Meir Javedanfar - writing an article titled "The plus side of an arms race with Iran" - also admits it's "a sign that Iran is making significant advances in its missile programme" and moving past its inaccurate Shahab-3's.

Now Iran is threatening to launch precision strikes against Tel Aviv's skyscrapers and against Israeli nuclear sites. In the former case Israel would have to respond with overwhelming force well beyond its conventional capabilities. In the latter case Israel would interpret the attack a non-conventional strike and respond accordingly. So in a very real way, the inaccuracy of Iran's missiles is all that prevents an inevitable Israeli/Iranian war from going nuclear.

Now just for completion's sake. Iran's got enough material to build a nuclear bomb. They've been developing nuclear warheads for years and the IAEA - for all that they've been hiding the fact - undeniably knows it. They've been developing nuclear triggers for years and the US - for all that the 2007 NIE authors misled Americans about it - has known it all along.

Oh. And they might building an H-Bomb:

Consider that they've already experimented with advanced weapons designs like two-point implosion, nuclear triggers, and have built their own facility at Arak that could be used to produce both tritium, which is a suspected boosting agent in hydrogen bomb designs, as well as weapons-grade plutonium... And what of Ahmadinejad's recent visit to South America, where he showed keen interest in Bolivia's massive lithium reserves? Lithium is commonly used in batteries and electric cars, but it can also be engineered into lithium-6, which is reportedly used as fusion fuel in two-stage thermonuclear devices. Iran may be skipping basic, cumbersome nuclear designs and moving straight to a fully deliverable hydrogen style weapon... Such a powerful weapon would compensate for Iran's inaccurate missile fleet and allow them to hold vast swaths of allied and American territory at risk.

Not to worry though. Talks are still a go according to the West. The deadline's been moved back yet again or course, but that's just because the Iranians need more time. It's not they're stonewalling on purpose, you see. It's just that the leadership - per the EU, following Obama - is too disorganized to respond how they'd like. They're united enough to approve 15-20 new nuclear plants in the future, but not enough to negotiate about any of the ones they have now.

References and related after the jump...

References:
* Iran test-fires improved missile, state TV says [MSNBC]
* US defense official: Iran's missile test shows nothing new [JPost]
* A Breakdown of Iran's Missile Arsenal [NYT]
* The plus side of an arms race with Iran [Guardian]
* Clenched With A Promise To Massacre Millions Of Israeli Civilians [Is Iran's Fist Still Clenched?]
* Iran Says it Will Strike Israel's Nuclear Sites if Attacked [Fox News]
* MI chief: Iran has enough nuclear material for bomb [Ha'aretz]
* IAEA report: Iran tested advanced nuclear warhead design [CSM]
* U.S. to Probe Reported Iran Nuclear Trigger [Fox News]
* Iran paper describes work on nuclear detonation devices in 2007 [Hot Air]
* Clenched With An H-Bomb Program [Is Iran's Fist Still Clenched?]
* Iran deadline still year-end - White House [Reuters]
* EU: Iran's domestic turmoil stymies nuclear talks [ETaiwan News]
* Obama: We're Giving Iran More Time Because Of Their "Unsettled Political Situation" [MR]
* UPDATE 2-Iran needs up to 15 nuclear plants-foreign minister [Reuters]

Related Mere Rhetoric Categories:
* Iran
* Diplomacy
* Engagement

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  • Omri Ceren is a PhD candidate studying Rhetoric at the University of Southern California's Annenberg School for Communication. He lives in downtown Los Angeles.

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