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Sarkozy: Let's Engage Syria! Barry Rubin: Let's Not!

Oh come on:

Breaking with the policy of his predecessor Jacques Chirac, Sarkozy said he was prepared to hold high-level talks with Syria if it backed French efforts aimed at ending the political crisis in Lebanon. "If Damascus committed itself to this path, then the conditions for a Franco-Syrian dialogue would be in place."

We're not saying that he's not Europe's second-best hope when it comes to growing a spine and holding on to what's left of its Western legacy - here's another article from yesterday that implies that he very much is. But really? Here's an article that the GLORIA Center's Barry Rubin, he of "knows something about Syria" fame, put out yesterday:

Yet nothing could seem more self-evident than these propositions. What could possibly be wrong with engaging radical forces, persuading them to change their ways, and breaking up their alliances?

I’m glad you asked. Here is how these apparently obviously correct ideas are dangerous and even disastrous... Finally, there is how the radical side takes the engagement process as a victory, a sign that the extremists are winning and that the West is frightened and ineffective. This is precisely what the radical side’s leaders say in Arabic or Persian to their colleagues and people. Meanwhile, the democratic side’s credibility plummets and deterrence crashes, sparking more extremism and aggression. Why is moderating the radical forces also doomed to failure? The basic answer is that they do not want to become moderate and why should they? This misconceived model is based on the view that Iran, Syria, Hamas, Hizballah, and radical Islamists generally are reluctant militants, forced to be so by misunderstanding (the West or Israel isn’t really so horrible and means them no harm) or a lack of alternatives.

The article goes on from there. Suffice to say: engagement with Syria will not make them less crazy. It might, however, be just enough to get Syria not to attack the UNIFIL troops that France - brimming to the hilt with machismo - put in Lebanon to "sort things out". And now France has to go begging not to be attacked. This all seems familiar, somehow.

References:
* France's Sarkozy raises prospect of Iran airstrikes [Reuters]
* France tells Europe to pull its weight on defense [Reuters]
* Engage, Moderate, Split [GLORIA]

Previously:
* France To Disarm Hezbollah
* Israel Politely Requests That UN Allow UNIFIL Soldiers To Do Their Damn Jobs
* France to Lead UNIFIL

Cross-posted to:
* Israpundit

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