Just How Many Wars Will There Be In Lebanon This Summer?

Definitely one between jihadists and the Lebanese army:

The latest trouble in Lebanon began in a rundown refugee camp called "Cold River," where U.S. officials fear Al Qaeda is trying to ignite the war-ravaged country into an inferno once again... This time, the fighting is north of Tripoli and between the fledgling Lebanese army and Sunni groups loyal to Osama Bin Laden who are holed up in the Nahr Al-Bared ("Cold River") Palestinian refugee camp. "It's going to be a very hot summer in tiny Lebanon," predicts Fawaz Gerges, a Lebanese-born Sarah Lawrence College scholar, who is researching jihadis in the country. "You have Al Qaeda-inspired groups ready to die. These people fight until the end."

Jerry Gordon at IsraPundit also has news that AQ is opening up a southern front, just to really ignite the country. We're not too worried about AQ taking over South Lebanon - we don't think Hezbollah will give it to them.

The only thing better than one war in Lebanon, of course, is two wars in Lebanon. Enter Bashar Assad, who anti-Syrian exiles are identifying as the culprit behind last week's Katyusha attack on Kiryat Shemona:

Farid Ghadri, a Syrian exile, and head of a Syrian opposition party which calls for the end of the Assad regime, told Ynetnews that Syrian President Basher Assad was responsible for the rocket attacks. Ghadri, head of the Reform Party of Syria, is based in Washington DC, and has just completed a week-long visit to Israel, where he addressed the Knesset, and toured the Golan Heights.

Debka had this story up yesterday - as an exclusive no less - but we figured that (a) it was Debka and (b) it was Debka. Plus, Debka's anonymous military sources and YNet's sources are probably the same group - Syrian exiles. And since the rest of the YNet article is about how they're probably wrong, the barrage is probably not Assad's fault. Which isn't to say that he's not trying to start a war this summer - because he most certainly is. Just that he wasn't trying to start a war last week in that particular way.

Update (23:00 PST) - Honestly, we can't believe that we have to do this. We figured that the first question was from a troll, but the same question three times passes our "clarification" threshold. When we say "the only thing better than one war in Lebanon, of course, is two wars in Lebanon", we mean "the only thing worse than one war in Lebanon, of course, is two wars in Lebanon". As in "chaos is bad and more chaos is worse, so another war is just super". Sarcasm.

References:
* Qaeda Thugs Promise Lebanon A Long, Hot Summer [CT Blog]
* Lebanese army battles militants on two fronts [IsraPundit]
* 'Katyushas were one-off attack' [YNet]
* DEBKAfile Exclusive: Damascus ordered Sunday's Katyusha attack on N. Israeli Kiryat Shemona, causing no casualties. But there is more to come
* Katyushas Hit Israel Two Days After UNIFIL Commander Promises Peace [MR]
* This Summer's War With Syria - Syria Openly Brags About Preparing For War [MR]

Previously:
* World Approves Of Israeli Defense Minister's Promise: We Will Kill 10 Terrorists For Every Soldier Killed, "Negotiations Are Out Of the Question" [Video]
* World Reacts With Outrage As Lebanon Shells Palestinian Refugee Camp For Fifth Straight Day
* Human Rights Organizations Untroubled By Dozens Of Israeli Secret Arrests, Planned Executions Of Terrorists

Cross-posted to:
* The Astute Bloggers
* Israpundit