MR's Senate and House Coverage - (1) Predictions We Will Regret
On the basis of nothing more than a coin flipping through thin air, here are a series of totally unnecessary predictions that can only come back to make us look bad Tuesday night.
Senate: 52 (R) / 48 (D). AZ and TN will go Republican. Rasmusen has already taken Kyl out of Lean GOP, and Ford is not going to beat the GOP's ground game in a state as red as TN. The GOP will also put up its usual GOTV numbers and win Missouri and Montana. Obviously, Burns is the question mark among those two, but the $300K that Liddy Dole just got done dumping in Big Sky Country should make the difference. Steele and Kean will both fall short - MD and NJ are just too blue for the GOP to make up a 3 point election-night gap. In a totally a dick move, God will deprive the GOP of Santorum but force them to keep Allen. And we don't care what Mason-Dixon said this weekend, Chafee will lose. This is not Nam, and there have to be some rules.
House: 210 (R) / 225 (D) plus-minus who cares. We are mere months away the official launch of Pelosi's campaign to create a permanent Republican majority that will last generations.
FWIW.
Previously: The Democratic Party and American Jews: The Divorce Is Going To Be Ugly, Hitchens and Sullivan On CNN, Some De-Facto Republican Acceptance of Gays: Not Ideal, But We'll Take It
UPDATE: Why wait till tomorrow when being wrong is so easy today? NRO's boxscore puts Allen down by 8 and Burns down by 9. They've also got Talent down by 4 to make the Senate +6 Dems, but we're still pretty confident that that's going to be erased come election day. It's MO - if you put together any kind of Democratic GOTV network, doesn't that pretty much exhaust the state's entire supply of registered Dems? Like, who's left for them to call after that?
Listen, we're firmly in the Dean Barnett "liberals are bigmouths who can’t wait to share their opinions with strangers and conservatives have lives" school of polling sucks, but those gaps are way, way outside the margin. But if you're a Republican looking for some solace that doesn't involve shooting vodka and sniffing glue (what? how do you people relax), here's this morning's proof that polling really does suck.
But it probably doesn't suck that much. Let's hope that the lunatics are right and Karl Rove really has conspired with the judge in Saddam Hussein's trial to rig all the Diebold machines.
Oh, and yeah, that link actually does go to a DKos post "questioning the timing" of the Saddam death sentence. Seriously.





