Israel won't withdraw before the Jewish New Year. We think - and we're just guessing - that it has something to do with a combination of two things: (1) Hezbollah's announcement as long as a month ago that they were already preparing to rearm and (2) the fact that Kofi Annan reacted to said announcement by getting Syria to promise to help prevent Hezbollah from rearming. There's just something about Syria's motives that the Israelis don't trust.

And you know, we couldn't figure out why Israel distrusted the Syrians so much. At first we thought that it had something to do with Israel getting intel that Syria would make a grab for the Golan in late August, and then Syria seemingly confirming that by threatening to go to war with Israel last week. But then we read the international press and realized that it's because the Israelis are racist. So that was actually kind of helpful, because it cleared things up for us.