Stan Shivell and I have been IM’ing back and forth about what Iran’s February 11 saber rattling. is all about. It’s the 31st anniversary of the Islamic takeover and both the government and the opposition will be out in force. But there’s also this other element – and the Iranians do this periodically – where they attach some kind of mystical significance to a day and predict “surprises” and “demises” and so on. Probably as good a time as any to look at how a regional war between Israel and Iran might play out.
Ergo today’s episode of One Jerusalem Radio’s Omri Ceren Show, going on the air at 6:30pm. As always you can tune in live via either the episode page or the main Omri Ceren Show page. Chat room available, phone lines open, etc. Segments in the queue: the calculations and capabilities of Hezbollah-controlled Lebanon, Syria, Iran, and Egypt. This crap about Apaches will also come up. I’ve been trying to chase the story down a little bit and it turns out to be pointedly different than original press reports implied.
Dan Diker joins the show for three full segments today. We’ll go over the specifics of recent Israeli/Syrian relations before moving into how the Syrian military would get dragged into a regional war. Even measured by the amount of game Diker usually brings to these discussions, there’s just a ton of information in each section. Two specific things for which to keep an ear out: the significance of Syria’s chemical weapons arsenal specifically in the context of peace talks and the degree to which Iran can impose its will on Damascus’s behavior.
References:
* Clenched With A Weird Feb 11th Deadline For The "Demise Of Capitalism" And America [Is Iran's Fist Still Clenched?]
* What Would A Middle East War Look Like? [One Jerusalem Radio's Omri Ceren Show]
* Wonderful: Obama Blocking Apache Sales To Israel, “Dismayed” At Use During Cast Lead [MR]
Related Mere Rhetoric Categories:
* The Omri Ceren Show
* Syria
* Iran
