This Summer’s War With Syria – IDF Says It’s Not Gonna Happen

By
Omri Ceren
– July 11, 2007Posted in: Syria

Famous last words:

Deputy Israel Defense Forces Chief of Staff Moshe Kaplinsky said Wednesday that that he does not believe the IDF will go to war with Syria this summer, contrary to past estimates. “We believe, as I personally believe, we needn’t expect a war with Syria this summer,” Kaplinsky said at a meeting with military reporters in Tel Aviv on the first anniversary of the Second Lebanon War. Kaplinsky added, however, that “we cannot ignore what we are seeing: a growing Iranian involvement in promoting regional instability, Syrian involvement in the rearming of the Hezbollah following the war in Lebanon, and the preparatory measures being taken by the Syrian army.”

Now riddle us this: is this meant to make Syria think that Israel is unprepared for an attack, or does he mean it? Or does he not mean it, but they really don’t want Syria to attack – because they don’t think the IDF is ready?

And if he is bluffing about intelligence estimates, hadn’t he better be very ready to prove after the fact that he was bluffing? Lest he, you know, remind people of the spectacular failure of US intelligence in the leadup to 1973? The one that ended not a few military careers?

References:
* IDF deputy chief: Summer war with Syria not likely [Ha'aretz]

Previously:
* This Summer’s War With Syria, Iranian Coordination Edition
* This Summer’s War With Syria – Syria Says They’re "Actively Preparing For War With Israel"
* This Summer’s War With Syria – Peace Deal Rumors Are Suspiciously Incoherent

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