Let’s be clear. This is technically true:
Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert’s centrist Kadima party would plummet into third place behind Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud and another right wing faction if elections were held now, a poll showed on Thursday. Olmert’s popularity has collapsed in the aftermath of a 34-day war between Israel and the Lebanese guerrilla group Hezbollah, amid widespread criticism of the government’s handling of the crisis. The survey in the Yedioth Ahronoth daily showed Likud would get 22 seats – up from 12 now – in Israel’s 120-member parliament, with Kadima beaten into third place with only 15 seats compared to the 29 it won in March elections. Kadima would slip behind the rightist immigrant party Yisrael Beitenu, whose share would rise to 20 seats from 11 now. Kadima’s centre-left coalition partner, Labor, would also drop to 15 seats from 19 now.
Very interesting. And like we said, very true. So, knowing that, what do you think the odds are that Kadima and Labor will let the government fall any time soon? Do you think they’re more on the “significant” or “insignificant” side? If you had to guess.
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